NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	5.1 [843]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +13.3%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	1.3 [1059]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -25.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richie Frahm	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	55%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.03	4	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.02	-0.08	10	18%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.23	0.00	-0.09	25	35%	-0.03	7	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	13	77%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	13	48%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	16	50%	0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	6	46%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	19	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	8	29%	-0.05	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.26	-0.03	-0.04	17	25%	-0.18	4	-0.07	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	0.8	29.8	15.8	21.0	2.6	27.3	118.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.3%

POR -2.9%

GSW +16.0%

GSW +5.1%

GSW +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.5	92.6	113.7	104.0
season	15.8	15.0		101.2	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.3	17.6	15.8	12.8	14.8
GSW	14.4	17.5	13.0	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-14	8	12.7	14.9	-2.13	20.7	15.3	5.45
Travis Outlaw	50	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-14	8	14.9	14.7	0.15	16.1	14.8	1.32
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-11	2	14.9	14.0	0.90	15.2	17.8	-2.59
Viktor Khryapa	52	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-3	-14	15.4	14.1	1.31	14.9	16.2	-1.26
Richie Frahm	36	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	-1	-18	15.5	14.3	1.19	15.8	15.3	0.48
Ruben Patterson	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-10	0	14.3	17.2	-2.88	15.8	14.3	1.50
Joel Przybilla	76	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	-7	-6	14.5	16.1	-1.58	15.2	16.8	-1.68
Damon Stoudamire	95	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	0	-20	14.8	0.0	14.79	15.5	0.0	15.53

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.25	25	-5	30	14.8	17.8	-2.98	14.6	15.2	-0.62
Mike Dunleavy	76	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	5	10	15.2	17.0	-1.84	15.2	13.1	2.08
Andris Biedrins	43	43	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	13	-6	16.6	14.7	1.89	15.8	14.0	1.79
Baron Davis	79	79	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	5	10	15.2	17.1	-1.85	14.2	17.9	-3.79
Jason Richardson	58	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	7	6	13.8	18.2	-4.36	15.0	14.4	0.54
Derek Fisher	41	41	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	14	-8	17.0	14.4	2.64	15.1	14.5	0.58
Adonal Foyle	52	52	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.22	13	7	6	14.7	16.6	-1.89	14.0	15.8	-1.79
Mickael Pietrus	28	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	13	-6	17.9	14.5	3.36	14.9	14.7	0.19
Zarko Cabarkapa	26	26	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	21	-22	18.4	14.4	3.99	14.8	14.8	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 96, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NYK 90, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.6%
NOP 100, BOS 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%