inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 75 Excitement3.5 [1108] MVPTony Battie (BOS): +10.2%
Boston Celtics 98 Comeback1.3 [1022] LVPMarcus Banks (BOS): -7.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Samaki Walker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.070.00-0.07337%0.0120.00250%-0.00
Udonis Haslem0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00464%0.0100.00650%-0.03
Jerome Beasley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05312%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Loren Woods-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.011050%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011655%0.054-0.10887%0.02
Brian Grant-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.02750%0.023-0.062100%0.01
Rafer Alston-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.02657%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
John Wallace-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.02650%-0.032-0.022100%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.041221%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.01-0.024100%0.101-0.002100%0.01
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.02783%0.081-0.00450%-0.02
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.020.02871%0.071-0.02560%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.031155%0.0510.0000%0.00
Kedrick Brown0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.02550%0.0400.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.001562%0.063-0.04786%0.02
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.00133%-0.0300.00450%-0.02
Mike James0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.010.000.061055%-0.031-0.012100%0.01
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.12-0.00-0.05920%-0.071-0.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.532.314.827.12.426.4128.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +28.7%
BOS +3.1%
BOS +1.2%
BOS +21.3%
MIA -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game17.114.615.783.3106.5100.5
season16.214.499.399.5
opponent15.915.9102.198.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA19.115.715.917.717.1
BOS13.813.716.115.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Beasley550.00-0.500.50-0.217-303711.617.4-5.7817.614.43.15
Bimbo Coles1917-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-222115.117.6-2.5416.014.31.69
Samaki Walker2827-0.09-0.410.33-0.121-242514.618.1-3.5015.414.31.12
Loren Woods1111-0.13-0.370.230.07-7-16918.716.81.9012.914.9-1.94
Udonis Haslem4749-0.15-0.350.20-0.274-273116.317.9-1.6715.613.52.17
John Wallace3837-0.25-0.250.010.02-9-14517.216.90.2714.414.8-0.45
Brian Grant5154-0.28-0.22-0.060.22-17-6-1118.015.82.2214.614.7-0.11
Dwyane Wade6366-0.30-0.20-0.100.20-17-6-1116.817.6-0.8214.714.50.11
Rafer Alston6569-0.39-0.11-0.280.17-19-4-1517.815.22.5714.514.9-0.33
Eddie Jones7476-0.41-0.09-0.320.41-285-3317.515.22.2714.216.4-2.20
Malik Allen4949-0.43-0.07-0.360.42-296-3517.816.21.6313.715.7-1.98

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams44420.430.070.37-0.3928-53313.415.7-2.3618.915.43.51
Vin Baker51500.410.090.33-0.06167914.614.60.0216.817.4-0.62
Raef LaFrentz56550.350.150.20-0.12167914.415.0-0.5816.418.1-1.64
Walter McCarty27280.290.210.09-0.12149513.415.1-1.7216.317.4-1.12
Mike James52500.290.210.09-0.18167914.414.9-0.5418.015.82.22
Paul Pierce65610.240.26-0.03-0.111211114.814.10.7217.615.81.81
Marcus Banks40400.210.29-0.090.00716-914.914.40.5415.818.0-2.22
Mark Blount34330.140.36-0.23-0.10815-714.714.60.1418.416.32.11
Tony Battie42410.100.40-0.30-0.08617-1114.914.40.4817.117.00.12
Kedrick Brown43430.030.47-0.430.12-326-2915.913.52.4615.518.5-3.05
Jiri Welsch670.000.50-0.500.15-528-3317.214.42.7213.917.3-3.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 102, GSW 1280.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
NOP 96, GSW 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
GSW 77, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%