inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 102 Excitement4.0 [990] MVPGilbert Arenas (GSW): +24.5%
Golden State Warriors 128 Comeback1.2 [774] LVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): -10.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001059%0.0500.00250%0.00
John Stockton0.020,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.00570%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tony Massenburg0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00850%0.0200.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.000.051067%0.021-0.01475%0.00
Matt Harpring0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00760%0.021-0.02683%0.01
John Amaechi-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02536%-0.0000.0010%-0.01
Karl Malone-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011550%0.012-0.04425%-0.03
Scott Padgett-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.11-0.01-0.081025%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.010.031155%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Mark Jackson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.01-0.021426%-0.1000.00367%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.170.03-0.042171%0.272-0.036100%0.02
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.000.06786%0.0400.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.011153%0.0200.00887%0.02
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.000.03977%0.063-0.044100%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02665%0.0100.00560%-0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02571%0.021-0.014100%0.01
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05420%0.0000.002100%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.03665%0.035-0.06887%0.01
Jason Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.000.021050%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.025.216.728.61.830.2127.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +38.5%
GSW +12.8%
UTA -2.8%
GSW +4.1%
UTA -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAGSWNBAUTAGSWNBA
this game17.812.415.5108.5132.0101.6
season16.314.6103.1105.3
opponent15.115.3106.8101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA19.218.215.019.017.8
GSW11.211.414.412.912.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Ostertag2427-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-242215.518.6-3.0313.512.01.44
John Amaechi3231-0.11-0.390.270.30-14-12-217.917.70.1612.412.5-0.04
Carlos Arroyo3939-0.14-0.360.220.21-12-14218.217.50.6512.512.40.16
Tony Massenburg2122-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-201420.217.13.1412.212.5-0.28
Mark Jackson1617-0.18-0.320.150.09-9-17819.817.42.4311.112.7-1.61
John Stockton3941-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-5-211616.618.7-2.0612.912.10.80
DeShawn Stevenson4343-0.23-0.270.050.36-20-6-1418.417.31.0612.112.7-0.67
Scott Padgett4444-0.23-0.270.040.24-16-10-617.717.9-0.1811.713.1-1.39
Matt Harpring4952-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.09-6-201417.518.1-0.6012.712.20.54
Andrei Kirilenko4849-0.30-0.20-0.110.34-22-4-1818.417.21.2612.012.9-0.85
Karl Malone5557-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.07-8-181017.618.1-0.4312.911.71.22
Calbert Cheaney6063-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-10-16617.318.6-1.2412.512.30.27

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison69660.470.030.450.001610612.312.7-0.3817.418.8-1.46
Gilbert Arenas70670.380.120.25-0.041412212.711.90.8218.117.01.12
Adonal Foyle44450.280.220.05-0.251881012.212.6-0.3518.317.31.03
Troy Murphy68640.270.230.05-0.081214-212.612.10.5317.917.50.44
Jason Richardson60560.270.230.04-0.081214-212.811.81.0717.817.80.01
Mike Dunleavy47470.240.26-0.03-0.291881012.112.8-0.6918.617.01.51
Erick Dampier53490.240.26-0.030.00818-1012.612.20.3517.318.3-1.03
Bob Sura37380.230.27-0.04-0.181412211.812.8-1.0717.817.8-0.01
Earl Boykins27270.120.38-0.25-0.231214-211.912.7-0.8217.018.1-1.12
Jiri Welsch10110.000.50-0.50-0.18620-1413.812.31.5116.418.0-1.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 98, POR 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,197.0%
CHA 81, CLE 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
DAL 69, POR 800.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%