NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Excitement	4.1 [1011]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +14.9%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	1.2 [508]		LVP	Delonte West (CLE): -11.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.05	18	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	21	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	15	82%	0.26	5	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.01	7	78%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.01	0.10	10	76%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.8	31.0	19.8	24.0	3.6	29.3	140.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +57.5%

HOU +5.6%

CLE -10.8%

HOU +0.1%

CLE -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	17.9	16.6	15.5	88.1	112.0	106.4
season	16.9	16.3		110.6	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		102.7	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.6	17.5	18.7	17.7	17.9
HOU	15.9	14.5	17.3	19.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarence Kinsey	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-15	11	18.0	17.9	0.14	22.5	16.2	6.34
Darnell Jackson	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	18.0	17.9	0.14	18.0	16.5	1.47
JJ Hickson	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-15	11	18.0	17.9	0.14	22.5	16.2	6.34
Daniel Gibson	55	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-13	7	17.3	18.9	-1.52	16.7	16.4	0.26
Ben Wallace	30	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-12	5	18.5	17.5	0.93	15.5	17.3	-1.80
Anderson Varejao	52	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-14	9	16.9	19.4	-2.53	16.3	17.2	-0.88
Wally Szczerbiak	49	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-5	-9	17.1	18.9	-1.74	17.1	15.9	1.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-10	1	18.8	16.5	2.33	16.1	17.5	-1.44
Delonte West	51	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.09	-17	-2	-15	17.6	18.2	-0.61	16.2	17.2	-0.94
LeBron James	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-5	-9	18.2	17.1	1.09	16.4	17.2	-0.84
Mo Williams	56	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	-5	-9	18.6	16.4	2.16	16.7	16.3	0.39

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	68	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-4	27	17.2	13.9	3.35	18.4	15.9	2.42
Metta World Peace	62	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.21	23	-4	27	16.9	15.9	1.01	18.3	16.5	1.79
Luis Scola	57	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	2	15	16.8	16.2	0.61	18.0	17.4	0.60
Shane Battier	69	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	8	3	17.1	14.4	2.72	17.7	18.6	-0.93
Aaron Brooks	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	2	15	17.1	15.8	1.24	18.3	17.1	1.20
Von Wafer	36	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	11	-3	16.2	16.9	-0.69	17.5	18.1	-0.64
Kyle Lowry	34	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	17	-15	15.7	17.2	-1.54	17.1	18.4	-1.33
Brent Barry	17	15	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	16	-13	13.4	17.5	-4.10	18.6	17.7	0.89
Brian Cook	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	14.3	16.7	-2.37	17.0	17.9	-0.91
Charles Hayes	17	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	28	-37	15.6	16.9	-1.22	15.1	18.6	-3.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 85, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHI 111, MIA 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHA 78, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%