NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	78		Excitement	3.9 [1045]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +11.9%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	1.0 [936]		LVP	Raja Bell (CHA): -10.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	-0.01	-0.09	8	39%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	57%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Raja Bell	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	43%	-0.02	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	7	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	-0.02	0.05	15	76%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	11	63%	0.16	3	-0.07	8	62%	0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	33%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	0.07	12	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	27.7	16.0	27.5	1.8	32.5	132.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.2%

HOU +3.4%

CHA -4.2%

HOU +21.2%

CHA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	HOU	NBA	CHA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.5	85.7	110.0	106.4
season	16.5	16.3		103.0	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		102.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.1	15.0	19.3	15.2	16.6
HOU	14.8	16.3	14.3	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	53	53	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.10	-3	-18	15	15.3	18.4	-3.09	15.6	14.7	0.84
Cartier Martin	26	25	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-21	21	13.6	17.8	-4.22	14.3	15.6	-1.25
D.J. Augustin	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-18	15	15.6	17.5	-1.94	14.9	15.5	-0.66
DeSagana Diop	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-15	9	16.7	16.5	0.19	16.3	14.7	1.55
Emeka Okafor	62	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-6	-9	16.5	16.7	-0.19	14.7	16.3	-1.55
Raja Bell	62	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-4	-13	17.3	15.1	2.14	15.3	15.1	0.13
Raymond Felton	51	51	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	-2	-17	17.9	15.0	2.89	15.9	14.3	1.57
Boris Diaw	66	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	-3	-15	16.9	15.8	1.09	15.6	14.4	1.19
Gerald Wallace	62	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.11	-24	3	-27	17.6	14.4	3.25	14.6	16.6	-2.06

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.03	21	0	21	14.9	16.3	-1.45	16.6	16.6	-0.04
Luis Scola	60	59	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.01	20	1	19	15.1	15.5	-0.42	17.7	14.5	3.28
Aaron Brooks	51	51	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.04	20	1	19	15.4	15.0	0.39	17.6	15.3	2.22
Yao Ming	65	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	4	13	15.6	14.3	1.25	17.5	14.1	3.35
Shane Battier	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	3	15	15.5	14.7	0.80	17.8	13.5	4.28
Von Wafer	42	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	18	-15	15.1	15.3	-0.19	15.2	17.8	-2.65
Brent Barry	40	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	17	-13	15.2	15.2	-0.04	15.0	17.9	-2.94
Dikembe Mutombo	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	12.9	15.5	-2.61	12.9	17.0	-4.15
Brian Cook	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	17.2	15.1	2.09	11.8	16.9	-5.07
Charles Hayes	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	17.3	15.0	2.24	14.2	16.8	-2.57
Kyle Lowry	39	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	20	-19	15.0	15.4	-0.39	15.3	17.6	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 113, GSW 132	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAC 70, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHI 87, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%