inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 85 Excitement3.5 [668] MVPJeff Hornacek (UTA): +6.8%
Utah Jazz 96 Comeback1.1 [750] LVPDonyell Marshall (GSW): -11.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Erick Dampier0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.00-0.00683%0.072-0.0200%0.00
Felton Spencer-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02125%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.05933%-0.011-0.023100%0.01
John Starks-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.15-0.010.171971%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Muggsy Bogues-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.020.000.02743%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Chris Mills-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.020.031956%-0.014-0.063100%0.00
Terry Cummings-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02833%-0.061-0.0120%-0.04
Antawn Jamison-0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00617%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.110,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.020.01425%-0.043-0.0800%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.05-0.00-0.02683%0.102-0.0300%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.02583%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.037100%0.103-0.0500%0.00
Todd Fuller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.01-0.05643%0.031-0.002100%0.01
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.030.031661%0.062-0.04978%-0.00
Thurl Bailey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00757%0.011-0.0000%0.00
John Stockton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.02-0.03843%0.0100.00560%0.03
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02170%-0.001-0.00862%-0.00
Adam Keefe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01636%-0.032-0.04250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game38.82.426.515.425.62.036.2146.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +44.0%
UTA +9.5%
GSW -12.3%
UTA +4.2%
UTA +4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWUTANBAGSWUTANBA
this game17.017.915.8102.4117.199.6
season15.916.495.1102.6
opponent16.015.596.198.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW18.817.518.413.817.0
UTA17.219.518.616.817.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Felton Spencer1818-0.00-0.500.49-0.3010-213112.118.3-6.2316.318.4-2.11
Antawn Jamison2222-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-111118.516.52.0019.117.51.59
Muggsy Bogues3838-0.11-0.390.290.01-4-7316.617.4-0.8017.518.3-0.80
Adonal Foyle4747-0.24-0.260.01-0.271-121316.118.1-2.0316.220.3-4.07
Terry Cummings3735-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-10-1-917.616.51.0918.317.60.68
Donyell Marshall2928-0.31-0.19-0.110.07-132-1519.315.73.6218.617.60.98
John Starks6565-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.24-4-7316.817.6-0.7219.412.27.25
Erick Dampier4142-0.36-0.14-0.230.19-198-2718.815.33.4919.116.62.49
Bimbo Coles4948-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.19-7-4-316.817.3-0.5217.318.8-1.48
Chris Mills6967-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.14-9-2-716.619.1-2.5117.221.2-4.01

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl Malone57580.490.010.48-0.0418-72517.119.8-2.7517.914.92.96
Jeff Hornacek39400.440.060.38-0.1821-103117.918.0-0.1018.615.53.06
Bryon Russell48490.410.090.31-0.0616-52118.816.72.0918.614.63.97
Greg Ostertag56570.370.130.25-0.0715-41917.419.0-1.5217.715.52.22
John Stockton49490.280.220.070.1165118.017.90.0816.617.6-1.07
Howard Eisley42430.230.27-0.040.1147-318.517.41.0816.917.0-0.12
Todd Fuller26260.130.37-0.250.24-415-1919.017.41.5215.517.7-2.22
Adam Keefe14150.080.42-0.340.0229-717.018.1-1.1217.416.90.50
Shandon Anderson43430.060.44-0.380.35-1021-3118.017.90.1015.518.6-3.06
Thurl Bailey25250.010.49-0.480.21-718-2519.817.12.7514.917.9-2.96
Jacque Vaughn11100.000.50-0.500.18-617-2313.218.7-5.4810.817.8-7.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 93, MEM 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
NJN 86, SAS 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
CLE 74, HOU 930.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.7%