NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	4.8 [864]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (CLE): +15.6%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	3.3 [542]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -16.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.00	6	100%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Tarence Kinsey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	15	36%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	8	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	27	38%	-0.14	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.04	0.04	11	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	15	61%	0.10	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	16	53%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	22	43%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	33.1	21.3	26.8	3.0	30.2	143.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.6%

ORL +12.8%

ORL +7.1%

CLE -8.0%

ORL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	17.3	14.9	15.5	97.8	111.2	106.4
season	16.9	15.3		110.6	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.4	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	19.8	17.1	17.7	17.3
ORL	13.8	13.6	13.4	19.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarence Kinsey	17	15	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.15	8	-19	27	15.9	17.6	-1.76	15.5	14.7	0.82
Darnell Jackson	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-21	31	18.4	17.2	1.15	22.2	14.3	7.84
Jawad Williams	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	18.0	17.3	0.70	21.0	14.7	6.29
JJ Hickson	46	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-17	23	17.6	17.0	0.61	15.2	14.5	0.61
Ben Wallace	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-1	-9	18.0	16.8	1.26	14.7	15.0	-0.24
Wally Szczerbiak	42	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-2	-7	17.0	17.6	-0.54	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Sasha Pavlovic	57	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-6	1	17.5	17.0	0.44	15.4	13.8	1.66
Daniel Gibson	49	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-7	3	16.7	18.1	-1.40	14.2	15.5	-1.31
LeBron James	71	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-2	-7	16.8	19.4	-2.61	14.9	14.8	0.10
Mo Williams	63	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	9	-29	17.9	16.0	1.82	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Anderson Varejao	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.21	-25	14	-39	17.6	16.8	0.77	14.2	16.1	-1.90

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	76	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-3	17	15.2	12.7	2.53	17.6	15.5	2.09
Rashard Lewis	79	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-6	23	14.8	15.3	-0.50	17.8	13.8	3.98
Jameer Nelson	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-3	17	14.5	15.5	-0.92	17.6	16.7	0.92
Courtney Lee	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	10	-9	14.2	16.1	-1.91	16.6	18.7	-2.18
Tony Battie	19	19	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	2	7	16.9	14.3	2.59	18.4	17.0	1.34
Dwight Howard	72	72	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	12	-13	14.5	16.4	-1.93	17.0	18.4	-1.35
Anthony Johnson	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	14	-17	15.5	14.5	0.92	16.7	17.6	-0.92
Mickael Pietrus	52	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	7	-3	14.9	14.8	0.12	17.0	17.8	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 83, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
SAC 79, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NOP 81, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%