NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	81		Excitement	4.8 [860]		MVP	Patrick Patterson (TOR): +4.9%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	2.5 [886]		LVP	Ish Smith (NOP): -19.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	22	61%	0.14	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	63%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	9	25%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	20%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Ish Smith	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	0.02	9	27%	-0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.02	0.05	13	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	11	71%	0.11	4	-0.11	6	67%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	14	38%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	0.8	29.5	15.4	23.5	2.5	29.4	126.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +15.2%

TOR +14.5%

TOR +16.1%

TOR +7.1%

NOP -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	TOR	NBA	NOP	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	14.9	87.1	108.7	105.1
season	14.3	16.1		104.3	107.2
opponent	14.8	15.0		104.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.9	17.5	14.0	15.1	14.8
TOR	17.1	15.9	16.7	15.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	32	31	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-24	29	16.0	14.2	1.77	16.4	16.3	0.08
Jimmer Fredette	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	14.4	14.8	-0.43	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Alexis Ajinca	45	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-16	13	14.6	15.0	-0.49	16.6	16.1	0.47
Toney Douglas	29	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-22	25	16.1	14.2	1.83	16.6	16.2	0.34
Dante Cunningham	34	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.19	-11	-8	-3	16.4	13.9	2.44	17.0	16.0	1.06
Ish Smith	45	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-15	11	15.3	14.4	0.93	15.4	17.2	-1.73
Jrue Holiday	41	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	-4	-11	14.0	15.4	-1.36	17.4	15.5	1.86
Ryan Anderson	65	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	0	-19	14.2	16.2	-2.01	16.0	17.2	-1.19
Eric Gordon	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	3	-25	14.4	16.0	-1.62	16.2	16.8	-0.55
Omer Asik	48	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-3	-13	15.0	14.6	0.49	16.1	16.6	-0.47
Alonzo Gee	50	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	-4	-11	13.8	15.9	-2.09	16.4	16.3	0.11

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	58	58	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	3	13	15.5	17.8	-2.31	13.6	16.8	-3.20
DeMar DeRozan	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-1	21	16.3	16.4	-0.05	14.3	16.2	-1.96
DeMarre Carroll	64	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	-1	21	16.4	16.2	0.23	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Luis Scola	45	44	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	7	5	16.0	16.6	-0.57	13.7	15.8	-2.05
Kyle Lowry	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	10	-1	16.7	15.4	1.30	14.0	17.0	-3.00
Cory Joseph	53	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	8	3	16.2	16.6	-0.44	16.2	12.8	3.42
Patrick Patterson	40	42	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.13	8	11	-3	16.5	16.2	0.38	15.8	14.0	1.83
Norman Powell	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	19	-19	16.2	16.4	-0.18	16.5	14.3	2.16
Bismack Biyombo	34	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.09	3	16	-13	17.8	15.5	2.31	16.8	13.6	3.20
Anthony Bennett	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	15.4	16.4	-0.99	14.4	14.8	-0.43
Delon Wright	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	15.4	16.4	-0.99	14.4	14.8	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 94, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAC 79, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CLE 71, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%