NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	71		Excitement	4.4 [905]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +10.5%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	2.0 [1102]		LVP	Chris Mills (CLE): -15.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	14	64%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	-0.00	-0.06	11	60%	0.07	1	-0.00	8	50%	-0.06
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	12	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	7	12%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	11	25%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	16	59%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	15	42%	0.04	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.08
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	27%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	26.3	15.7	26.0	1.8	27.2	125.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.6%

CHI +9.8%

CLE -3.0%

CHI +8.2%

CHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	19.7	16.5	15.6	88.8	106.3	104.4
season	17.8	15.5		102.1	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.1		99.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.9	18.3	20.8	21.1	19.7
CHI	15.4	16.8	18.1	16.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donny Marshall	20	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-13	13	18.2	20.2	-2.00	15.9	16.7	-0.74
Mark West	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	8.0	19.8	-11.85	3.0	16.7	-13.68
Shawnelle Scott	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	16.5	19.8	-3.28	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Reggie Geary	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	19.0	19.7	-0.75	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Carl Thomas	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	17.7	19.9	-2.20	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Vitaly Potapenko	24	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-10	7	19.0	20.0	-0.94	12.8	18.0	-5.19
Antonio Lang	35	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-9	5	20.1	19.4	0.79	14.9	17.6	-2.69
Bob Sura	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-7	1	19.8	19.3	0.50	17.1	14.7	2.42
Chris Mills	72	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	1	-15	19.6	21.0	-1.44	16.6	15.2	1.40
Tyrone Hill	58	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	1	-15	20.5	17.6	2.85	17.8	13.2	4.61
Danny Ferry	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-2	-9	19.9	18.8	1.11	16.9	14.6	2.26
Terrell Brandon	54	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.10	-24	11	-35	19.8	19.4	0.41	17.0	15.4	1.68

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-5	23	17.1	14.2	2.89	19.8	19.2	0.62
Luc Longley	61	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	5	3	15.6	19.5	-3.88	19.9	18.9	1.05
Scottie Pippen	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.05	17	-4	21	16.3	17.2	-0.93	19.8	19.2	0.64
Jud Buechler	33	35	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	0	13	15.0	17.6	-2.59	19.6	19.8	-0.23
Randy Brown	28	30	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.31	-2	15	-17	15.9	16.8	-0.95	19.6	19.7	-0.11
Steve Kerr	46	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	9	-5	15.1	18.5	-3.35	18.8	21.0	-2.17
Jason Caffey	44	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	8	-3	18.2	14.4	3.73	20.2	19.1	1.08
Ron Harper	37	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	14	-15	18.1	15.1	3.06	19.3	20.0	-0.79
Dickey Simpkins	10	9	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	8	-3	16.9	16.4	0.45	22.8	19.3	3.47
Bison Dele	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	15	-17	18.3	16.2	2.15	18.4	20.0	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CHH 99, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAC 104, DEN 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	95.1%