NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	79		Excitement	5.3 [609]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +15.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	3.5 [597]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -15.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	6	79%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	15	41%	-0.05	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	15%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	18	39%	-0.03	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.04	8	25%	-0.06	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.05	0.04	15	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.02	0.07	11	81%	0.15	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.02
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	8	29%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	11	25%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	20%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	14	29%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	28.2	15.5	30.4	2.4	31.6	134.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.4%

POR +11.0%

SAC -2.9%

POR +17.6%

SAC -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	17.6	13.3	15.6	84.0	109.8	102.8
season	14.9	15.7		102.2	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.4	18.9	17.0	18.5	17.6
POR	13.5	15.4	12.3	12.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	55	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-19	16	16.8	18.7	-1.93	13.3	13.3	0.05
Jimmer Fredette	46	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-21	20	17.9	17.3	0.58	13.1	13.5	-0.38
Jason Thompson	26	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-18	14	17.1	17.8	-0.75	13.8	13.1	0.72
Travis Outlaw	48	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-20	18	18.1	17.1	0.95	12.7	13.9	-1.15
John Salmons	37	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-9	-4	17.3	17.8	-0.53	14.1	12.8	1.30
Marcus Thornton	68	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-7	-8	18.1	16.2	1.92	13.7	12.2	1.46
JJ Hickson	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-8	-6	18.4	16.6	1.87	13.5	13.1	0.35
Tyreke Evans	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	-1	-20	17.2	18.2	-1.03	13.6	12.8	0.86
Isaiah Thomas	25	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-7	-8	16.1	18.2	-2.04	11.4	14.0	-2.56
Charles Hayes	54	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.17	-22	0	-22	17.9	17.2	0.64	13.0	13.7	-0.68

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	69	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.17	25	-3	28	13.2	13.6	-0.41	17.1	19.2	-2.04
Wesley Matthews	45	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	6	10	13.6	13.0	0.54	16.5	18.7	-2.27
Nicolas Batum	56	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	5	12	13.1	13.6	-0.55	17.9	17.2	0.70
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	5	12	13.7	12.5	1.21	17.1	18.7	-1.54
Raymond Felton	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	13	-4	13.6	12.9	0.77	16.9	18.5	-1.68
Marcus Camby	46	47	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.23	19	3	16	13.9	12.7	1.26	17.5	17.7	-0.21
Craig Smith	17	17	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	13	-4	11.5	13.7	-2.25	16.7	17.8	-1.11
Kurt Thomas	33	35	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	19	-16	12.5	13.8	-1.28	18.4	17.2	1.25
Jamal Crawford	48	49	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	17	-12	13.4	13.2	0.15	18.1	17.0	1.10
Luke Babbitt	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	10.7	13.4	-2.73	21.7	17.5	4.18
Elliot Williams	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	10.7	13.4	-2.73	21.7	17.5	4.18
Chris Johnson	14	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	27	-32	13.3	13.3	-0.02	21.3	16.9	4.34
Nolan Smith	11	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	29	-36	14.0	13.2	0.79	20.2	17.2	2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 81, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
OKC 94, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NOK 80, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%