NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	83		Excitement	5.5 [749]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +15.0%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	2.5 [771]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (MEM): -18.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.00	14	62%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	8	32%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	19	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Lawrence Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	13	23%	-0.15	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	10	29%	-0.08	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.00	0.04	14	68%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	42%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	41%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	23	41%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.08
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	25.4	16.4	27.4	2.5	30.4	127.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +26.6%

DEN +2.4%

DEN +16.6%

MEM -0.4%

DEN +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	17.9	14.1	15.6	92.2	110.0	104.4
season	17.1	14.4		103.5	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		103.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.2	17.9	18.6	16.7	17.9
DEN	14.5	12.6	11.4	18.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Roberts	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-21	26	14.6	18.8	-4.18	16.7	13.3	3.41
Antonio Burks	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	12.0	18.0	-5.97	24.5	13.9	10.64
Hakim Warrick	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-14	12	15.6	18.1	-2.50	15.6	14.0	1.67
Dahntay Jones	24	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-12	8	16.7	18.3	-1.68	19.0	12.4	6.52
Eddie Jones	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-7	-2	18.3	17.3	0.99	14.0	14.2	-0.23
Lorenzen Wright	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-10	4	19.2	17.2	2.02	14.2	14.0	0.22
Mike Miller	61	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-4	-8	17.5	18.8	-1.37	13.3	15.7	-2.45
Bobby Jackson	46	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-4	-8	17.4	18.4	-1.00	13.5	14.7	-1.22
Pau Gasol	80	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-4	-8	18.0	17.1	0.90	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Damon Stoudamire	56	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-6	-4	18.8	16.5	2.30	13.0	16.0	-2.95
Shane Battier	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	2	-20	18.6	15.4	3.14	13.4	16.7	-3.34

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	64	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.13	23	-7	30	12.8	17.3	-4.56	18.9	15.3	3.57
Francisco Elson	43	43	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	0	16	14.2	14.0	0.12	19.5	16.4	3.04
Earl Watson	49	50	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	1	14	12.9	15.6	-2.73	18.1	17.6	0.45
Carmelo Anthony	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	1	14	13.2	17.0	-3.72	18.3	16.6	1.73
Andre Miller	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	8	0	14.7	12.8	1.90	18.3	17.1	1.15
Earl Boykins	48	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	3	10	14.2	13.9	0.32	17.1	18.8	-1.66
Eduardo Najera	48	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	12	-8	14.8	13.3	1.57	16.1	20.1	-4.04
Greg Buckner	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	17	-18	16.0	13.2	2.75	17.0	18.3	-1.36
DerMarr Johnson	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	18	-20	14.5	14.0	0.59	18.2	17.8	0.37
Linas Kleiza	18	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.09	-11	27	-38	17.3	13.3	4.04	15.2	18.5	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CLE 88, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIN 104, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%