NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	4.9 [845]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +12.9%
Boston Celtics	117		Comeback	2.5 [741]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -21.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.04	14	72%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.05	14	57%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	14	58%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Tyus Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.07	0.10	23	42%	-0.18	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.03	0.04	12	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	-0.02	0.02	12	80%	0.18	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.00	0.07	15	73%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	8	35%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.07	3	89%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	29.1	15.5	24.4	2.4	27.4	125.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +55.0%

BOS +6.5%

MIN -9.2%

BOS +0.6%

MIN -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	14.8	14.8	114.3	125.8	107.7
season	15.3	14.7		109.3	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.3	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.4	16.8	16.1	15.9	16.6
BOS	13.9	12.7	15.2	17.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	21	22	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.08	11	-24	35	17.4	16.3	1.07	13.9	15.0	-1.18
Tyus Jones	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	15.6	16.8	-1.20	16.1	14.5	1.66
Lance Stephenson	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-13	13	12.0	16.8	-4.77	17.7	14.6	3.12
Kris Dunn	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-10	7	16.4	16.7	-0.31	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Ricky Rubio	60	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-3	-7	16.7	16.4	0.31	14.9	14.5	0.42
Gorgui Dieng	57	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	16.5	16.7	-0.19	15.5	13.4	2.08
Karl-Anthony Towns	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	0	-13	16.4	17.7	-1.32	14.9	13.9	1.07
Shabazz Muhammad	60	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	16.5	16.6	-0.03	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Andrew Wiggins	74	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	3	-19	16.8	15.6	1.20	14.5	16.1	-1.66
Brandon Rush	53	55	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.05	-19	6	-25	16.9	16.0	0.92	14.1	15.7	-1.51

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	61	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	-6	25	14.2	15.9	-1.69	17.0	15.6	1.39
Marcus Smart	52	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	10	-7	14.5	15.0	-0.51	16.3	16.8	-0.48
Al Horford	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	-2	17	15.0	14.4	0.54	17.0	15.8	1.16
Jonas Jerebko	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	8	-3	15.4	14.2	1.14	16.6	16.5	0.15
Jae Crowder	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	0	13	15.0	14.4	0.64	16.4	16.7	-0.29
Avery Bradley	60	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	4	5	14.8	14.7	0.06	16.6	16.5	0.17
Jaylen Brown	34	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	12	-11	14.4	15.0	-0.55	16.7	16.5	0.20
Kelly Olynyk	26	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	12	-11	12.9	15.5	-2.61	16.7	16.5	0.26
Amir Johnson	50	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	13	-13	15.6	13.7	1.90	15.7	17.5	-1.79
Terry Rozier	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	14	-15	15.1	14.6	0.54	16.2	16.7	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 83, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAC 89, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIL 95, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.44,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.2%