inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 95 Excitement5.9 [627] MVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): +15.8%
Denver Nuggets 106 Comeback2.0 [255] LVPJared Dudley (MIL): -12.5%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.010.061570%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.011073%0.165-0.12667%-0.02
John Henson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01753%0.0300.00540%-0.07
Khris Middleton0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.01-0.02-0.042044%0.0300.005100%0.02
Tyler Ennis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.00642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Miles Plumlee-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.00839%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.0210%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.020.031142%-0.062-0.04450%-0.03
Jared Dudley-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.040.01617%-0.101-0.0300%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.050.011668%0.243-0.086100%0.04
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.07-0.01760%0.131-0.021100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00580%0.0600.0000%0.00
Erick Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01280%0.0400.001100%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.031262%0.071-0.042100%0.01
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.030.001056%0.041-0.04580%0.01
Randy Foye0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.01950%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.01-0.021250%0.072-0.0700%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01933%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.01-0.03222%-0.053-0.05540%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.433.515.725.22.328.3132.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +41.8%
DEN +12.5%
MIL -2.8%
MIL -3.6%
DEN +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDENNBAMILDENNBA
this game15.515.115.1101.1112.8104.2
season14.514.6100.5103.4
opponent15.315.7106.6101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.115.316.514.115.5
DEN13.913.514.818.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Ennis3130-0.03-0.470.43-0.061-121316.515.11.3913.116.1-3.01
Miles Plumlee1716-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-111116.415.31.0213.915.4-1.50
Jared Dudley4141-0.17-0.330.17-0.14-1-10915.315.7-0.3213.216.6-3.32
John Henson5151-0.17-0.330.17-0.08-3-8515.715.30.4514.815.4-0.60
Giannis Antetokounmpo6969-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-5-114.817.6-2.8315.713.62.01
Ersan Ilyasova5858-0.23-0.270.03-0.09-5-6115.515.5-0.0116.313.32.98
Zaza Pachulia2627-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.05-8-3-514.615.9-1.3116.414.61.76
Khris Middleton7171-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.12-8-3-515.216.4-1.1516.112.04.07
Michael Carter-Williams6364-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.11-121-1315.116.5-1.3916.113.13.01
Jerryd Bayless4343-0.520.02-0.53-0.14-132-1517.414.03.4112.917.0-4.16

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson61600.51-0.010.510.0117-62315.614.21.4415.116.2-1.07
Danilo Gallinari72710.460.040.420.0514-31715.613.71.8715.316.3-1.04
Kenneth Faried62610.440.060.370.0812-11316.312.93.4015.116.3-1.20
Will Barton44450.430.070.360.2083513.216.8-3.6415.815.30.53
Randy Foye53530.320.180.140.03101916.113.92.1515.615.50.10
Darrell Arthur29290.250.25-0.010.0474313.315.9-2.5616.315.21.14
Erick Green15130.190.31-0.130.0456-115.515.00.5016.015.40.56
Wilson Chandler59600.100.40-0.29-0.0765115.115.2-0.1315.415.7-0.29
Jameer Nelson3031-0.050.55-0.600.16-718-2513.415.9-2.4716.615.01.58
Gary Harris1111-0.060.56-0.610.06-415-1916.315.01.3115.215.6-0.38
JJ Hickson3436-0.080.58-0.670.30-1324-3714.715.3-0.6015.515.50.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.44,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 104, BOS 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.2%
PHX 96, HOU 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,193.7%
CLE 75, POR 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,193.3%