NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	4.8 [687]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): +21.3%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	2.2 [701]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -9.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte Greene	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.02	8	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	21	59%	0.11	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	10	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.12	0.02	15	66%	0.27	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	11	81%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	15	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	23	41%	0.01	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	0.8	26.1	15.7	28.5	1.6	25.5	121.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +18.7%

HOU +3.0%

HOU +31.7%

SAC -5.9%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.6	17.3	15.6	95.7	110.8	102.8
season	14.9	15.4		102.2	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.2	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	13.7	14.7	12.7	13.6
HOU	17.1	15.8	17.4	19.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	39	39	0.12	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-22	30	12.5	14.4	-1.93	17.8	17.0	0.84
Francisco Garcia	45	44	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-21	28	12.9	14.3	-1.40	17.5	17.2	0.27
Isaiah Thomas	54	53	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-17	20	12.6	15.1	-2.44	17.6	16.9	0.72
Donte Greene	63	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-18	22	13.3	14.3	-0.93	16.9	18.1	-1.19
Jimmer Fredette	36	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	1	-16	15.1	12.7	2.36	17.2	17.4	-0.16
DeMarcus Cousins	33	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	6	-26	14.3	13.2	1.08	17.5	17.2	0.26
JJ Hickson	51	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.06	-20	6	-26	14.4	12.7	1.72	17.3	17.3	0.00
Tyreke Evans	81	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	1	-16	13.7	13.1	0.63	17.9	13.5	4.41
John Salmons	63	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.03	-22	8	-30	14.1	12.7	1.43	16.3	19.7	-3.42

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	78	81	0.71	-0.21	0.91	-0.08	27	-13	40	16.9	19.5	-2.62	14.0	11.2	2.74
Luis Scola	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.23	28	-14	42	17.7	16.8	0.86	14.6	12.0	2.57
Chandler Parsons	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	0	14	16.6	19.9	-3.32	13.6	13.9	-0.30
Samuel Dalembert	63	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	-9	32	17.0	18.0	-0.93	14.1	12.6	1.57
Kevin Martin	75	73	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	4	6	17.5	16.8	0.69	14.0	12.3	1.64
Chase Budinger	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	13	-12	17.1	17.5	-0.36	13.7	13.6	0.07
Goran Dragic	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.30	-9	23	-32	18.0	16.9	1.08	11.9	14.5	-2.59
Jordan Hill	23	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	24	-34	18.1	17.1	1.06	12.3	14.1	-1.77
Patrick Patterson	28	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.35	-14	28	-42	18.9	16.7	2.23	11.6	14.4	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
LAC 94, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CHH 77, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%