NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	77		Excitement	5.1 [757]		MVP	Tony Delk (GSW): +4.7%
Golden State Warriors	88		Comeback	1.8 [616]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -18.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	6	58%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.03	-0.06	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.02
B.J. Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	11	39%	-0.06	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.06	0.03	27	48%	-0.06	4	-0.12	10	80%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	17	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	18	51%	0.13	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01	2	-0.00	13	77%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	3	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	7	37%	-0.04	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	30.0	14.8	23.4	2.4	27.2	121.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +25.4%

GSW +10.1%

GSW +5.4%

GSW +9.6%

CHH -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	GSW	NBA	CHH	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	15.6	83.7	93.6	102.5
season	15.7	15.6		104.0	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.9		102.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.7	15.2	13.7	16.4	14.9
GSW	14.7	14.2	16.2	19.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Williams	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-8	5	14.8	15.0	-0.21	16.5	15.9	0.61
Vernon Maxwell	56	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.22	5	-16	21	13.6	17.1	-3.56	16.0	16.1	-0.07
B.J. Armstrong	19	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-2	-7	19.8	13.7	6.17	15.1	16.2	-1.09
J.R. Reid	47	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.24	2	-13	15	14.1	15.9	-1.80	17.2	14.7	2.54
Corey Beck	25	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	1	-13	16.6	14.3	2.33	16.0	16.0	0.04
David Wesley	76	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-9	7	13.6	21.2	-7.63	16.4	13.7	2.69
Anthony Mason	85	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-5	-1	14.4	21.0	-6.55	16.0	15.5	0.55
Matt Geiger	52	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	7	-25	16.6	12.8	3.71	14.8	17.4	-2.67
Glen Rice	87	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	1	-13	15.5	5.8	9.67	15.8	19.5	-3.73

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	88	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-1	13	15.8	18.7	-2.84	15.2	11.0	4.17
Erick Dampier	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-5	21	16.2	15.2	1.06	16.0	10.8	5.24
Tony Delk	84	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	1	9	15.5	19.9	-4.35	15.2	13.0	2.16
Muggsy Bogues	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-3	17	15.4	17.3	-1.86	15.3	14.2	1.06
Todd Fuller	61	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-1	13	16.0	16.0	0.02	14.7	15.5	-0.79
David Vaughn	28	26	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	7	-3	17.1	15.5	1.56	16.1	14.5	1.63
Bimbo Coles	31	30	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	14	-17	17.3	15.4	1.86	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Adonal Foyle	26	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	15	-19	16.1	16.0	0.14	11.7	16.1	-4.43
Brandon Williams	11	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	10	-9	18.2	15.7	2.46	14.3	15.0	-0.72
Felton Spencer	5	5	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	18	-25	12.0	16.2	-4.24	6.4	15.4	-9.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHI 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 102, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.3%