inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 102 Excitement5.2 [816] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +16.4%
Milwaukee Bucks 106 Comeback1.8 [868] LVPJamal Crawford (NYK): -20.2%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jermaine Jackson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00390%0.0600.00475%0.01
Tim Thomas0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.040.11-0.010.061372%0.071-0.036100%0.03
Maurice Taylor0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.01-0.011362%0.062-0.04367%-0.01
Jerome Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.040.031057%-0.051-0.003100%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.001842%-0.023-0.0700%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.00436%-0.082-0.04650%-0.04
Malik Rose-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.01-0.02617%-0.044-0.0900%0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2-0.19-0.06-0.041730%-0.114-0.09367%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.160.160.190.010.031676%0.1600.0010100%0.05
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.10.100.030.04-0.031069%0.133-0.046100%0.04
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.000.02-0.06856%0.091-0.002100%0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Marcus Fizer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.030.03-0.040.02-0.06670%0.094-0.06875%0.01
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Goldwire00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.001162%0.073-0.081080%0.01
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.0050%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.41.831.815.623.42.739.7141.4
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +50.8%
MIL +19.3%
NYK -28.7%
MIL +12.9%
NYK -4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKMILNBANYKMILNBA
this game14.715.015.5104.1110.4104.0
season15.816.0103.9104.4
opponent15.015.3107.4106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK13.814.416.914.114.7
MIL15.015.616.613.115.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Williams13120.06-0.560.62-0.002-6813.814.8-1.0014.615.0-0.45
Jermaine Jackson2930-0.08-0.420.33-0.080-4417.013.73.3015.614.70.85
Malik Rose3235-0.15-0.350.19-0.07-3-1-217.013.63.3515.015.0-0.01
Maurice Taylor5353-0.21-0.290.08-0.303-71014.315.2-0.9014.216.0-1.85
Trevor Ariza1919-0.24-0.260.02-0.07-62-819.513.65.9716.214.71.54
Michael Sweetney4543-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.08-73-1015.214.30.9016.014.21.85
Tim Thomas6665-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.320-4413.517.2-3.7214.715.6-0.89
Kurt Thomas6661-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.32-1-3213.617.0-3.3515.015.00.01
Stephon Marbury7977-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.28-3-1-214.117.4-3.3614.915.4-0.55
Jamal Crawford8885-0.540.04-0.59-0.40-51-614.516.3-1.7714.915.8-0.95

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith52550.400.100.300.0811-71815.714.21.4714.515.0-0.47
Michael Redd72770.380.120.270.3031214.815.4-0.5313.917.9-4.00
Desmond Mason62640.370.130.250.119-51414.915.1-0.1214.016.0-1.97
Mo Williams72750.330.170.160.3304-414.715.7-0.9713.618.3-4.63
Dan Gadzuric33350.260.240.010.028-41215.914.51.4214.314.9-0.58
Anthony Goldwire24230.170.33-0.160.0540415.714.70.9718.313.64.63
Toni Kukoc38380.150.35-0.210.32-610-1614.115.5-1.4014.914.60.25
Erick Strickland23200.110.39-0.270.0913-215.214.90.2618.313.84.51
Zaza Pachulia51510.110.39-0.270.32-711-1815.314.60.7616.313.03.29
Calvin Booth990.110.39-0.28-0.0140414.015.1-1.0810.815.1-4.33
Marcus Fizer44430.100.40-0.300.31-711-1814.215.7-1.4715.014.50.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 73, CHA 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
MIA 89, SAS 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%
LAL 100, PHX 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.95,1,1,195.2%