inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 95 Excitement4.8 [853] MVPKevin Garnett (MIN): +14.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 106 Comeback2.4 [589] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -18.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Kerr0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.010.033112%0.0700.002100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.010.00383%0.0600.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00383%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Mengke Bateer-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00450%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.060.02-0.010.07662%-0.041-0.031100%0.00
Malik Rose-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.041148%0.003-0.07560%-0.00
Tony Parker-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.011651%0.014-0.10560%-0.02
Stephen Jackson-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.001350%-0.004-0.114100%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.07-0.061739%-0.093-0.091070%-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.150.150.150.030.041974%0.192-0.05875%-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.03-0.011553%0.0900.00250%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01683%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00-0.04450%0.0400.00250%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01856%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.020.00944%0.0100.0000%0.00
Igor Rakocevic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marc Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.03-0.040.05967%0.022-0.0800%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.030.00743%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.03915%-0.1100.00250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.626.414.825.62.035.0128.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +16.6%
SAS -3.8%
MIN +6.5%
MIN +30.9%
SAS -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMINNBASASMINNBA
this game14.414.815.596.9107.1101.6
season15.714.9102.5104.0
opponent15.815.4102.396.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.015.515.912.814.4
MIN16.715.814.812.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mengke Bateer910-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-192712.014.7-2.6614.414.9-0.47
Danny Ferry2625-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-131513.314.8-1.4615.714.51.15
Bruce Bowen5352-0.15-0.350.200.02-6-5-114.714.10.5715.713.91.84
Steve Kerr2728-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-7315.913.82.0815.314.60.65
Kevin Willis3838-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-6114.414.4-0.0415.714.21.49
Tony Parker7171-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.12-7-4-313.815.9-2.0814.615.3-0.65
Tim Duncan7980-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-110-1114.115.6-1.5014.914.30.69
Stephen Jackson6870-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.14-8-3-515.113.02.0914.615.4-0.89
Manu Ginobili4951-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.16-10-1-913.815.0-1.2013.915.8-1.97
Malik Rose7070-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.05-143-1715.112.82.2914.216.2-2.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wally Szczerbiak66650.57-0.070.640.1016-52114.515.5-1.0914.314.6-0.28
Kevin Garnett72730.410.090.330.091101114.216.4-2.1315.411.73.68
Marc Jackson36350.290.210.080.0392715.514.41.0714.814.20.64
Joe Smith41420.270.230.040.0965114.614.9-0.3115.113.91.14
Troy Hudson65630.230.27-0.050.29-213-1514.615.2-0.5914.314.7-0.37
Gary Trent44410.210.29-0.080.1529-715.214.50.7012.915.5-2.69
Igor Rakocevic16160.160.34-0.18-0.0883514.414.9-0.5315.414.21.14
Rasho Nesterovic39400.150.34-0.190.0738-515.814.21.6115.113.91.15
Rod Strickland18190.110.39-0.27-0.0356-115.914.61.3814.114.5-0.45
Kendall Gill47460.070.43-0.360.0129-714.814.80.0213.715.0-1.32
Anthony Peeler51500.020.48-0.460.17-516-2114.715.0-0.2713.715.1-1.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 92, DAL 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,195.3%
CHH 77, GSW 880.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%
POR 83, HOU 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%