NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	4.8 [842]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (NOH): +17.5%
New Orleans Hornets	108		Comeback	1.9 [882]		LVP	Marcus Camby (LAC): -10.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	9	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ricky Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Al Thornton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	16	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	17	46%	-0.06	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Eric Gordon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	14	34%	-0.06	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	9	30%	-0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.02	8	84%	0.22	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.01	11	68%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	14	69%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	7	57%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	9	58%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	13	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.8	29.5	16.3	26.3	2.5	30.2	132.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +77.7%

LAC -6.1%

LAC -27.5%

NOH +4.1%

NOH +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOH	NBA	LAC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.3	103.3	118.7	106.0
season	15.5	15.5		101.9	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.2		108.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.6	17.1	18.0	14.0	15.2
NOH	13.6	18.0	17.1	18.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	14	14	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.15	12	-26	38	15.1	15.2	-0.09	18.9	16.0	2.87
Craig Smith	24	25	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-20	26	15.1	15.3	-0.13	19.9	15.1	4.76
Brian Skinner	34	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-18	22	16.7	14.3	2.42	16.9	16.1	0.82
Steve Novak	16	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-13	12	13.8	15.5	-1.71	17.4	16.2	1.21
Ricky Davis	20	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-14	14	13.7	15.6	-1.95	17.1	16.2	0.93
Al Thornton	47	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-7	0	16.0	14.3	1.70	17.8	15.1	2.63
Rasual Butler	62	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-9	4	15.8	14.0	1.84	15.3	18.8	-3.49
DeAndre Jordan	41	41	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-4	-6	13.8	16.4	-2.53	15.9	16.9	-1.00
Eric Gordon	64	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.19	-23	9	-32	14.9	16.1	-1.21	15.8	18.0	-2.23
Marcus Camby	64	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.15	-23	9	-32	15.4	14.9	0.47	15.2	19.1	-3.92
Baron Davis	69	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.02	-23	9	-32	15.2	15.2	0.05	16.2	17.3	-1.11

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	72	72	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.11	27	-13	40	16.7	15.3	1.41	15.3	14.9	0.34
Peja Stojakovic	63	63	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.03	21	-7	28	15.5	18.5	-2.94	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Devin Brown	58	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-4	22	14.9	19.0	-4.08	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Emeka Okafor	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	0	14	16.5	16.2	0.26	15.5	14.5	1.03
David West	65	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-1	16	15.5	18.7	-3.22	15.3	15.1	0.15
Darius Songaila	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	13	-12	18.3	15.6	2.73	14.8	15.4	-0.58
James Posey	33	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	9	-4	17.6	15.8	1.85	16.7	14.4	2.33
Morris Peterson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	16.2	16.4	-0.24	8.5	15.5	-7.03
Marcus Thornton	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.09	-4	18	-22	19.0	14.9	4.08	15.4	15.1	0.27
Julian Wright	13	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.24	-11	25	-36	18.1	16.2	1.92	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Bobby Brown	19	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.20	-13	27	-40	15.3	16.7	-1.41	14.9	15.3	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 67, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIA 89, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NYK 102, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.6%