NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	4.4 [943]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +21.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1044]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -18.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	7	81%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	15	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	73%	0.06	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.07	7	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	8	23%	-0.10	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.06	-0.04	15	34%	-0.08	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.03	0.00	25	64%	0.30	3	-0.09	9	100%	0.03
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	64%	0.03	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	62%	0.04	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	27.0	19.0	29.0	2.8	39.3	143.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +44.5%

CLE +14.0%

BOS -22.8%

CLE +9.6%

CLE +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	15.5	94.3	112.6	106.4
season	15.8	16.9		108.3	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		101.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.4	18.8	14.5	13.4	15.8
CLE	18.6	18.1	16.2	15.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	12	12	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.18	8	-23	31	12.2	16.4	-4.25	18.9	16.8	2.13
Patrick O'Bryant	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	10.7	16.4	-5.76	17.6	17.0	0.53
Gabe Pruitt	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-21	27	16.1	15.7	0.40	17.0	17.1	-0.11
Eddie House	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-14	13	16.4	15.5	0.98	17.3	16.9	0.39
Leon Powe	23	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.09	-4	-11	7	17.8	15.1	2.69	18.2	16.7	1.46
Kendrick Perkins	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-5	-5	15.5	16.3	-0.80	16.7	17.6	-0.88
Glen Davis	29	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	-5	-5	18.0	14.8	3.27	17.7	16.8	0.96
Kevin Garnett	53	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-1	-13	15.9	15.7	0.16	16.8	17.5	-0.75
Ray Allen	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	3	-21	16.1	14.4	1.76	16.7	19.3	-2.63
Rajon Rondo	68	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	2	-19	15.0	18.6	-3.64	16.7	18.4	-1.71
Paul Pierce	68	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	4	-23	15.9	15.6	0.25	17.3	16.2	1.18

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	79	79	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.03	22	-7	29	16.9	19.2	-2.39	15.5	18.4	-2.90
LeBron James	67	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.04	20	-5	25	16.7	18.2	-1.52	15.4	17.1	-1.65
Ben Wallace	56	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	1	13	16.4	18.2	-1.78	15.4	16.6	-1.23
Anderson Varejao	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	6	3	17.0	17.2	-0.17	16.7	13.7	2.96
Daniel Gibson	46	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	10	-5	17.4	16.7	0.71	15.9	15.8	0.08
Mo Williams	59	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	2	11	16.2	18.9	-2.67	16.3	14.9	1.41
JJ Hickson	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	19	-23	18.6	16.1	2.52	16.6	15.3	1.31
Wally Szczerbiak	25	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	18	-21	18.8	16.4	2.47	15.3	16.1	-0.73
Sasha Pavlovic	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	20.5	16.8	3.67	12.8	16.1	-3.23
Tarence Kinsey	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	15.0	17.1	-2.10	13.0	15.9	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ORL 93, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 109, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.96,1	95.1%