inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 93 Excitement4.7 [891] MVPMike Miller (MIA): +19.4%
Miami Heat 105 Comeback1.1 [1174] LVPMaurice Harkless (ORL): -12.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0.070,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.010.011369%0.112-0.04367%-0.01
E'Twaun Moore0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.01961%0.0500.0000%0.00
DeQuan Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.01286%0.071-0.04367%-0.00
Tobias Harris0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.021644%0.0000.001145%-0.08
Doron Lamb-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04617%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.07-0.020.07875%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01865%0.064-0.10450%-0.02
Maurice Harkless-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.160.00-0.041431%-0.064-0.0640%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.220.050.0710100%0.1900.001100%0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.011262%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.000.05-0.04956%0.152-0.0500%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.01967%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.011555%0.102-0.05837%-0.06
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.02-0.03362%0.051-0.00250%-0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00356%0.0400.00367%-0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarvis Varnado0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.011039%-0.012-0.04333%-0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01450%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.91.729.915.728.22.626.2132.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +48.2%
MIA +2.3%
ORL -7.8%
MIA +5.1%
MIA +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game15.317.215.4105.7118.0104.1
season15.515.7100.3110.2
opponent15.915.3102.4107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.614.514.217.115.3
MIA17.117.415.818.917.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Vucevic6868-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-111015.115.8-0.6517.516.50.99
Kyle O'Quinn1517-0.14-0.360.23-0.11-1-111017.514.82.6218.716.91.82
E'Twaun Moore5556-0.15-0.350.19-0.243-151815.115.7-0.5918.515.23.31
Maurice Harkless7779-0.17-0.330.17-0.14-1-111015.414.90.4417.514.82.74
Tobias Harris7271-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.02-8-4-414.917.0-2.0816.918.4-1.51
DeQuan Jones1718-0.35-0.15-0.190.00-120-1215.915.10.8014.218.0-3.78
Beno Udrih6867-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.00-120-1214.617.7-3.1117.217.3-0.05
Andrew Nicholson1920-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.12-10-2-816.115.11.0316.317.5-1.14
Doron Lamb4949-0.590.09-0.67-0.06-186-2416.014.41.5916.418.2-1.80

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen46450.59-0.090.670.0917-52218.316.12.1715.415.10.30
Chris Andersen36360.51-0.010.510.0117-52218.216.61.6115.715.00.68
Shane Battier35340.50-0.000.510.0017-52218.316.61.7315.914.90.91
Norris Cole77770.390.110.290.10102817.217.20.0815.216.1-0.91
Rashard Lewis46470.300.200.090.0393616.917.6-0.7615.814.71.15
Mike Miller59570.150.35-0.190.15012-1216.518.6-2.0614.816.2-1.39
Juwan Howard32330.050.45-0.41-0.0439-617.217.20.0214.915.5-0.67
Dwyane Wade45440.020.48-0.470.02012-1216.318.2-1.9615.215.4-0.18
James Jones10100.000.50-0.490.09-315-1816.717.3-0.6015.915.20.68
Jarvis Varnado980.000.50-0.500.09-315-1816.917.3-0.3916.615.21.46
Joel Anthony650.000.50-0.500.15-517-2220.717.03.6814.815.3-0.53
Udonis Haslem4444-0.010.51-0.510.05-214-1616.517.9-1.4114.715.9-1.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 85, CHA 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
BOS 90, SAS 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,195.4%
BOS 83, CLE 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%