NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	7.6 [315]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +25.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	84		Comeback	1.8 [371]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -59.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.12,0.26,0.26	0.03	0.22	-0.00	14	51%	0.28	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.12	0.01	14	52%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	8	53%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	65%	0.11	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	2	67%	0.05	2	-0.12	2	0%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	12	38%	-0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.15	-0.00	16	59%	0.30	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.07
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	10	62%	0.19	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	-0.00	13	69%	0.16	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	90%	0.11	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	0	50%	-0.00	1	0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.59	-0.59	-0.29	-0.29	0.01	15	13%	-0.42	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	35.5	15.7	26.2	2.7	36.2	145.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +7.6%

BOS +19.8%

BOS +5.0%

BOS +17.0%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.0	15.5	102.3	97.7	106.4
season	15.8	16.5		108.3	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		104.5	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.6	13.3	19.6	15.6	16.3
CHA	16.7	16.2	16.4	18.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	67	67	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-5	15	17.0	14.2	2.72	16.4	18.8	-2.42
Kevin Garnett	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-1	7	16.7	15.2	1.45	16.3	19.4	-3.08
Kendrick Perkins	54	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	3	-1	18.1	13.4	4.75	16.9	17.1	-0.17
Rajon Rondo	56	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	5	-5	17.7	13.9	3.84	16.3	18.1	-1.76
Paul Pierce	68	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	8	-11	17.1	13.6	3.47	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Eddie House	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	0	5	13.9	17.7	-3.84	18.1	16.3	1.76
Tony Allen	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	3	-1	13.4	18.5	-5.07	18.0	16.2	1.79
Leon Powe	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	1	3	14.0	17.6	-3.64	17.6	16.6	1.08
Brian Scalabrine	4	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	5	-5	13.7	16.5	-2.72	14.7	17.1	-2.31
Glen Davis	19	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	6	-7	15.2	16.7	-1.45	19.4	16.3	3.08

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Morrison	16	19	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.04	5	-10	15	18.2	16.7	1.52	15.9	16.5	-0.51
Dwayne Jones	23	26	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-7	9	15.8	17.4	-1.54	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Jared Dudley	4	5	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-7	9	21.5	16.7	4.77	19.8	16.1	3.67
Nazr Mohammed	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	-4	3	19.2	16.3	2.90	16.1	16.4	-0.31
Alexis Ajinca	8	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	17.6	16.9	0.74	14.2	16.6	-2.37
Matt Carroll	6	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	2	-9	14.2	17.2	-3.00	9.3	16.9	-7.53
Sean May	34	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	15.5	17.9	-2.45	16.8	16.1	0.71
Gerald Wallace	76	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-7	9	16.8	17.8	-0.96	17.1	11.0	6.12
D.J. Augustin	58	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	17.4	16.0	1.47	14.7	19.7	-5.02
Raymond Felton	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	17.1	15.8	1.30	16.3	16.4	-0.10
Emeka Okafor	59	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	3	-11	16.4	18.2	-1.85	16.9	15.3	1.59
Jason Richardson	53	53	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	3	-11	17.1	16.7	0.42	17.4	14.7	2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.17,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.23,0.53,0	91.7%
BOS 103, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.1,0.09,0	91.5%
SAC 100, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.35,0.34,0.2,0.46,0.25,0.09,0	91.5%