NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	7.2 [364]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +21.4%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	1.6 [362]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -54.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.11,0.2,0.21	0.00	0.17	-0.04	18	53%	0.24	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	16	69%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	18	52%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Vlade Divac	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.04	0.00	13	46%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	9	27%	-0.08	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.14	-0.02	16	53%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.10	0.00	6	87%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	41%	0.01	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.38,-0.55,-0.54	-0.54	-0.13	-0.38	0.04	13	40%	-0.39	4	-0.15	4	25%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	24.5	15.6	27.5	0.8	35.6	128.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +5.2%

SAC +24.6%

UTA -12.5%

SAC +33.1%

UTA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	16.5	15.7	113.6	105.7	100.5
season	14.7	17.2		106.9	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.6		100.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.0	16.0	17.2	15.0	16.3
UTA	17.3	17.6	14.9	16.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	64	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-3	13	16.7	15.0	1.68	17.3	14.3	2.93
Mike Bibby	77	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	0	7	16.4	15.4	1.03	16.1	19.5	-3.42
Brad Miller	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	3	1	16.0	17.7	-1.77	15.7	20.0	-4.26
Peja Stojakovic	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	6	-5	16.7	13.7	3.00	16.4	16.9	-0.52
Bobby Jackson	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	1	5	15.7	17.5	-1.76	17.1	15.0	2.06
Doug Christie	40	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	5	-3	15.8	16.6	-0.80	15.3	17.4	-2.09
Darius Songaila	12	12	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	1	5	13.7	16.7	-3.00	16.9	16.4	0.52
Gerald Wallace	12	12	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	1	5	13.7	16.7	-3.00	16.9	16.4	0.52
Tony Massenburg	24	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	14	-21	18.9	15.3	3.65	17.9	15.9	1.94

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Handlogten	22	20	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-14	21	17.2	16.2	0.95	19.3	15.4	3.93
Sasha Pavlovic	17	15	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-11	15	16.0	16.6	-0.58	19.5	15.6	3.86
Mo Williams	8	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-8	9	15.4	16.6	-1.20	9.7	16.9	-7.16
Jarron Collins	12	14	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-9	11	17.3	16.3	1.00	16.9	16.1	0.71
Curtis Borchardt	11	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	19.8	16.0	3.83	20.2	15.6	4.62
Carlos Arroyo	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-3	-1	16.0	16.7	-0.63	18.1	15.4	2.76
Raja Bell	44	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-5	3	16.9	16.0	0.89	15.5	17.1	-1.63
DeShawn Stevenson	44	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-2	-3	16.0	16.9	-0.89	17.1	15.5	1.63
Raul Lopez	52	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	16.9	15.9	0.98	16.2	16.3	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	77	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	16.0	19.8	-3.83	15.6	20.2	-4.62
Matt Harpring	69	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	4	-15	16.7	15.6	1.06	15.8	17.9	-2.15
Andrei Kirilenko	56	58	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.27	-16	9	-25	15.9	17.5	-1.67	14.8	19.1	-4.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.35,0.34,0.2,0.46,0.25,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.23,0,0	92.4%
TOR 98, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.15,0	92.0%
WAS 83, IND 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.16,0	92.0%