NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	8.0 [253]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +25.9%
Indiana Pacers	78		Comeback	1.2 [343]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -43.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	10	75%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	11	55%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	5	56%	-0.10	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.16
Juan Dixon	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	5	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	14	35%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.19	-0.03	-0.21	-0.05	25	46%	-0.10	1	-0.09	4	75%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.11	0.00	15	71%	0.26	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	6	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	13	53%	0.03	4	-0.18	4	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.14	-0.18	0.01	8	25%	-0.15	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.16,-0.23,-0.32,-0.42,-0.43	-0.43	-0.19	-0.27	-0.02	17	22%	-0.35	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	3.4	26.4	15.8	22.3	2.4	38.4	130.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.5%

IND -7.8%

IND -21.4%

WAS +40.8%

IND -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	17.5	17.6	15.5	101.2	95.1	101.6
season	16.5	15.4		100.9	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.5	18.4	16.2	18.2	17.5
IND	18.5	18.5	15.1	18.8	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	54	54	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.55	8	-3	11	17.0	18.6	-1.59	16.6	19.5	-2.83
Michael Jordan	68	69	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-8	21	17.2	18.9	-1.61	17.8	16.8	0.98
Jerry Stackhouse	67	68	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-3	11	16.7	21.2	-4.50	17.7	17.2	0.46
Tyronn Lue	58	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	0	5	17.6	17.4	0.21	16.9	19.1	-2.19
Christian Laettner	57	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	3	-1	17.1	18.4	-1.26	17.3	18.4	-1.05
Kwame Brown	18	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	3	-1	17.8	17.4	0.40	18.6	17.3	1.28
Bobby Simmons	11	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	18.9	17.3	1.60	13.6	18.2	-4.55
Juan Dixon	23	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	9	-13	19.3	16.8	2.53	19.3	16.9	2.37
Charles Oakley	34	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	9	-13	19.3	16.3	2.97	19.3	16.4	2.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamison Brewer	13	12	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.01	8	-13	21	20.6	17.0	3.59	22.3	16.7	5.63
Ron Mercer	33	32	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-5	5	18.6	16.9	1.74	19.0	16.6	2.47
Al Harrington	59	60	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-8	11	18.5	15.3	3.19	18.3	15.4	2.89
Austin Croshere	12	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-4	3	18.2	17.5	0.76	19.1	17.2	1.85
Jeff Foster	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-3	1	19.1	17.4	1.71	16.8	17.6	-0.82
Reggie Miller	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	17.2	19.4	-2.12	17.4	18.3	-0.91
Jermaine O'Neal	72	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	17.4	19.1	-1.71	17.6	16.8	0.82
Erick Strickland	37	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	1	-7	15.7	19.2	-3.45	16.5	18.4	-1.86
Metta World Peace	49	49	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	4	-13	17.8	17.4	0.39	16.6	18.9	-2.32
Brad Miller	57	57	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	7	-19	16.8	19.5	-2.71	16.2	20.6	-4.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 83, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.57,0.16,0	93.0%
DEN 107, MIN 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.09,0	92.4%
POR 105, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.44,0.27,0	92.2%