NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	107		Excitement	8.0 [274]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): +16.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	1.4 [486]		LVP	Trenton Hassell (MIN): -13.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.11	0.00	17	60%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	4	125%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	10	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	15	68%	0.09	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	20	52%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	4	22%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Francisco Elson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	10	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.04	-0.05	15	48%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.13	0.00	18	63%	-0.00	1	-0.04	7	86%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	18%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	19	53%	-0.04	3	-0.07	11	91%	0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	3	20%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.6	34.0	16.4	27.5	3.6	34.3	145.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +60.3%

MIN -14.7%

MIN -9.7%

DEN +14.5%

MIN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	13.7	15.4	15.5	107.0	106.1	104.0
season	14.8	15.8		103.8	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.6		104.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	11.6	12.4	14.3	17.4	13.7
MIN	14.1	14.8	17.8	15.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	73	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-8	19	12.8	16.2	-3.44	15.4	15.5	-0.16
Carmelo Anthony	81	78	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-6	15	12.9	17.2	-4.32	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Kenyon Martin	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	1	1	13.9	13.4	0.50	15.6	14.9	0.77
Marcus Camby	54	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-2	7	14.0	13.4	0.55	15.5	15.3	0.13
DerMarr Johnson	42	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	2	-1	12.7	14.5	-1.80	15.4	15.4	-0.06
Greg Buckner	48	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	7	-11	15.0	12.5	2.48	15.9	14.9	1.02
Nene	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	-2	7	12.4	14.2	-1.83	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Eduardo Najera	39	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	4	-5	14.9	12.9	1.99	16.7	14.7	1.96
Wesley Person	23	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.08	-1	4	-5	15.6	13.1	2.47	15.9	15.3	0.60
Francisco Elson	13	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	8	-13	11.0	14.1	-3.11	10.7	16.0	-5.26
Earl Boykins	33	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	10	-17	15.9	12.6	3.28	14.9	15.6	-0.72

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	25	24	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.05	6	-9	15	14.9	15.6	-0.64	16.3	12.9	3.40
Anthony Carter	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	0.0	15.4	-15.40	10.0	13.7	-3.75
John Thomas	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-2	1	15.6	15.4	0.22	12.3	13.9	-1.57
Wally Szczerbiak	65	67	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-5	7	15.2	15.8	-0.63	14.3	12.4	1.92
Michael Olowokandi	47	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-2	1	15.2	15.6	-0.44	11.7	15.5	-3.75
Troy Hudson	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	4	-11	15.1	15.7	-0.66	11.3	16.0	-4.69
Sam Cassell	50	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.40	4	-7	11	15.7	15.1	0.66	16.1	11.2	4.83
Eddie Griffin	51	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-1	-1	15.6	15.2	0.44	15.5	11.7	3.75
Kevin Garnett	88	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	15.4	15.6	-0.22	13.9	12.3	1.57
Trenton Hassell	43	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	4	-11	16.3	14.7	1.69	13.7	13.7	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	63	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.42	-7	4	-11	15.2	15.8	-0.67	12.1	16.7	-4.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	92.5%
WAS 83, IND 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.16,0	92.4%
NOH 92, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.17,0	91.9%