NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	7.5 [266]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (NOH): +37.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	1.5 [168]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -31.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.38	0.23	0.15	0.00	10	100%	0.38	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Gustavo Ayon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.01	7	67%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Xavier Henry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	13	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.04	0.01	23	36%	-0.12	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Greivis Vasquez	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.32	-0.10	-0.20	0.01	8	37%	-0.10	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.13	-0.00	6	71%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.11	-0.00	21	48%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.03	5	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	13	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	21	41%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.2	14.6	24.4	1.6	28.5	121.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +42.0%

MIL -3.5%

NOH +20.9%

MIL -10.8%

NOH +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIL	NBA	NOH	MIL	NBA
this game	18.4	14.2	15.6	103.4	101.1	102.8
season	16.3	14.6		99.2	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		103.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.1	17.0	18.5	19.9	18.4
MIL	14.6	13.0	16.6	12.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gustavo Ayon	59	58	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-6	15	17.8	19.4	-1.57	14.9	12.7	2.26
Marco Belinelli	64	64	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-6	15	18.0	19.4	-1.45	14.7	12.7	1.99
Chris Kaman	66	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-4	11	18.5	18.0	0.54	14.5	13.1	1.40
Trevor Ariza	84	83	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	1	1	18.4	17.2	1.23	14.4	10.6	3.77
Greivis Vasquez	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.41	-2	5	-7	19.1	17.5	1.63	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Donald Sloan	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	-2	7	17.5	19.1	-1.63	14.3	14.0	0.30
Lance Thomas	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	2	-1	17.2	18.4	-1.23	10.6	14.4	-3.77
Solomon Jones	21	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	6	-9	19.4	18.0	1.40	13.5	14.4	-0.85
Al-Farouq Aminu	32	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	10	-17	18.3	18.4	-0.02	12.4	15.1	-2.69
Xavier Henry	25	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	19.4	18.0	1.45	12.7	14.7	-1.99

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	9	8	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-5	7	13.0	14.3	-1.29	18.6	18.3	0.29
Beno Udrih	16	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	1	-5	14.0	14.2	-0.19	16.8	18.7	-1.90
Jon Leuer	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-13	23	12.6	14.8	-2.21	21.1	17.2	3.95
Larry Sanders	12	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	5	-13	14.2	14.1	0.11	15.4	18.9	-3.48
Mike Dunleavy	45	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-9	15	13.0	15.3	-2.33	19.3	17.4	1.87
Stephen Jackson	35	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-7	11	12.7	15.1	-2.35	19.5	17.5	1.99
Luc Mbah a Moute	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	2	-7	16.6	12.8	3.74	17.0	19.1	-2.09
Shaun Livingston	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	4	-11	15.2	13.4	1.79	17.1	19.4	-2.28
Drew Gooden	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	2	-7	15.0	13.1	1.85	17.7	19.2	-1.50
Ersan Ilyasova	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-5	7	13.1	17.0	-3.85	19.1	16.4	2.67
Carlos Delfino	41	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	8	-19	15.7	12.8	2.94	17.3	19.2	-1.93
Brandon Jennings	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.46	1	-4	5	14.2	14.0	0.19	18.7	16.8	1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 101, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.08,0	93.1%
UTA 90, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	93.1%
DET 90, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.29,0.46,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.02,0	93.0%