inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 90 Excitement6.0 [657] MVPRasheed Wallace (DET): +15.0%
Miami Heat 81 Comeback1.4 [483] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -30.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0.150,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.160.020.031091%0.181-0.032100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.00683%0.132-0.0500%0.00
Ben Wallace0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.04-0.011250%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Elden Campbell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06-0.04-0.010.021550%-0.012-0.06683%-0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.070,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.050.011446%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.010.012038%-0.061-0.032100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.140.140.16-0.020.001381%0.171-0.031100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.01757%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.030.00638%0.0000.0010%-0.02
Christian Laettner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00267%0.001-0.0220%-0.03
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.00743%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.04-0.090.031462%-0.012-0.07450%-0.04
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31-0.31-0.18-0.14-0.012531%-0.252-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.429.220.829.13.733.0144.4
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +18.8%
DET +6.6%
DET +13.6%
DET +7.9%
DET +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game17.617.115.5108.497.6104.0
season16.715.7103.5107.9
opponent15.515.9101.198.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.316.618.816.717.6
MIA16.917.718.216.017.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasheed Wallace52530.57-0.070.640.1614-51917.018.5-1.4317.217.10.12
Ben Wallace76740.52-0.020.540.2690917.617.40.1417.415.02.41
Richard Hamilton79800.490.010.490.2390917.421.2-3.8817.216.01.19
Chauncey Billups69680.450.050.410.1990917.716.90.8417.415.81.64
Tayshaun Prince73710.410.090.320.2363317.418.8-1.4216.720.0-3.34
Lindsey Hunter10110.070.43-0.350.0227-519.617.32.3318.217.01.20
Carlos Arroyo18190.070.43-0.370.0418-717.417.6-0.2117.117.2-0.05
Elden Campbell56-0.010.51-0.51-0.0109-912.217.9-5.7014.317.4-3.03
Antonio McDyess3333-0.080.58-0.670.06-514-1919.216.52.7017.017.2-0.24

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler18170.24-0.740.980.153-121516.117.4-1.3915.418.1-2.69
Christian Laettner55-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-7519.617.02.6118.817.51.33
Keyon Dooling3837-0.06-0.440.39-0.060-9916.118.1-2.0117.117.9-0.85
Alonzo Mourning3537-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-2-517.416.90.4917.817.30.46
Shaquille O'Neal5957-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.31-1-8716.518.7-2.1417.916.81.03
Udonis Haslem6665-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.26-6-3-317.515.71.8117.517.7-0.14
Damon Jones4546-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.18-90-918.116.12.0117.917.10.85
Eddie Jones7474-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.24-90-917.414.92.5317.716.21.49
Dwyane Wade7577-0.740.24-0.98-0.33-145-1917.018.5-1.5017.518.8-1.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.29,0.46,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 94, PHX 870.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.1,0.17,0.15,093.6%
GSW 92, IND 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.16,093.4%
NOH 92, MIL 890.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.17,093.0%