NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	92		Excitement	7.5 [319]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +35.5%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	1.8 [154]		LVP	Austin Croshere (IND): -21.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	22	56%	0.14	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Larry Hughes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.07
Adam Keefe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	14	39%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.02	0.00	18	51%	0.05	6	-0.13	3	67%	-0.02
Chris Mills	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	8	22%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.23	0.15	0.02	15	83%	0.35	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	10	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	13	43%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	20	33%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	23.2	16.4	27.5	2.4	38.3	131.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +34.8%

GSW +9.6%

IND -5.6%

GSW +11.5%

IND -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.5	102.2	100.0	100.9
season	15.0	15.9		95.3	99.3
opponent	15.6	14.9		99.9	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	15.7	16.8	17.4	16.0
IND	17.1	17.0	13.2	16.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	2	-2	16.1	15.4	0.69	15.8	17.8	-2.04
Adam Keefe	54	55	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-12	26	16.4	15.4	1.04	16.6	15.1	1.52
Antawn Jamison	84	83	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.44	0	2	-2	15.9	17.7	-1.77	15.7	19.0	-3.27
Chris Mills	44	44	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	1	0	15.0	17.0	-1.93	15.3	16.7	-1.40
Larry Hughes	80	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.52	-6	8	-14	16.1	15.2	0.91	15.9	16.3	-0.32
Adonal Foyle	7	6	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	0	2	18.6	15.8	2.78	16.8	15.9	0.90
Chris Mullin	22	25	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.10	9	-7	16	16.5	15.9	0.65	17.8	15.3	2.56
Marc Jackson	5	6	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	2	-2	13.6	16.2	-2.55	11.0	16.3	-5.35
Randy Livingston	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	2	-2	15.5	16.0	-0.52	2.0	16.1	-14.15
Erick Dampier	72	71	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.25	-10	12	-22	16.0	15.9	0.08	16.5	14.2	2.25

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	52	53	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.21	10	-12	22	15.3	16.9	-1.61	16.8	14.8	2.04
Jonathan Bender	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-8	14	13.5	17.3	-3.77	18.5	14.7	3.77
Tyus Edney	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-3	4	10.8	16.9	-6.10	18.0	15.7	2.32
Derrick McKey	55	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.41	11	-13	24	15.4	16.9	-1.56	16.7	14.9	1.81
Jermaine O'Neal	20	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	5	-12	17.3	15.6	1.75	13.5	16.6	-3.14
Sam Perkins	33	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-1	0	17.4	15.2	2.27	16.7	15.6	1.13
Travis Best	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-3	4	16.4	13.9	2.57	15.5	18.6	-3.10
Zan Tabak	30	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	14	-30	16.9	15.5	1.32	13.8	17.1	-3.27
Austin Croshere	64	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	5	-12	17.2	12.9	4.31	15.7	16.7	-0.90
Reggie Miller	78	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	6	-14	16.0	16.1	-0.11	15.5	19.4	-3.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.29,0.46,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.02,0	93.4%
PHX 100, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.16,0.05,0	93.0%
SAS 98, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.17,0	92.5%