NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	100		Excitement	7.0 [384]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +24.9%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	1.4 [989]		LVP	Mikki Moore (SAC): -14.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.32,0.25	0.12	0.14	0.01	14	65%	0.30	2	-0.05	12	67%	-0.07
Brian Skinner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.01	2	87%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	20	52%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	14	47%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	5	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.11

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.11	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.11	0.06	-0.12	0.05	23	60%	0.11	6	-0.22	9	67%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	7	50%	-0.07	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	3	62%	-0.05	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	31.4	15.7	31.4	1.8	35.2	142.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.0%

PHX +2.7%

SAC -5.7%

PHX +22.8%

PHX +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	15.4	100.0	97.0	105.7
season	13.8	14.9		111.1	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.6		108.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.8	14.2	13.0	16.0	13.9
SAC	14.4	15.8	14.2	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	82	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-7	16	13.7	15.2	-1.51	15.2	12.7	2.43
Grant Hill	75	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-5	12	14.2	13.2	1.03	14.8	14.6	0.22
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	-1	4	14.1	13.6	0.45	15.1	14.0	1.14
Shawn Marion	82	83	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.56	-9	11	-20	14.4	11.7	2.69	14.1	17.8	-3.72
Leandro Barbosa	86	87	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.56	-9	11	-20	14.2	12.1	2.08	14.2	18.2	-4.05
Eric Piatkowski	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	-4	10	13.1	14.3	-1.28	15.2	14.5	0.77
Boris Diaw	50	50	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	1	0	14.0	13.8	0.22	15.3	14.2	1.10
Brian Skinner	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	0	2	12.2	14.6	-2.43	14.5	14.8	-0.36

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	20	19	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.35	12	-14	26	13.7	15.0	-1.21	13.5	14.0	-0.56
Spencer Hawes	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	0	-2	13.7	14.9	-1.16	15.4	13.7	1.74
Quincy Douby	10	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-2	2	16.7	14.5	2.19	16.7	13.6	3.14
Mikki Moore	49	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	3	-8	14.5	14.9	-0.37	13.5	14.3	-0.78
Francisco Garcia	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.48	7	-9	16	14.4	15.2	-0.76	14.3	13.3	0.97
John Salmons	67	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.46	5	-7	12	15.1	14.0	1.05	14.4	13.1	1.34
Brad Miller	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	7	-16	15.6	13.7	1.85	14.2	13.6	0.56
Beno Udrih	51	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	12	-26	14.3	15.1	-0.79	13.4	14.4	-0.94
Metta World Peace	88	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	14.9	13.8	1.09	13.5	16.8	-3.26
Kevin Martin	91	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	0	-2	14.5	16.7	-2.19	13.6	16.7	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.16,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 92, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.16,0	93.0%
UTA 107, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.27,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.16,0.08,0	92.5%
DET 90, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.29,0.46,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.02,0	92.0%