NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	6.2 [551]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +16.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	84		Comeback	1.3 [392]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -24.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	9	82%	0.22	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
John Starks	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12	-0.01	0.11	-0.03	6	50%	0.12	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	15	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.03	0.01	20	49%	0.07	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.02
Danny Manning	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	13	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	10	30%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.01	20	67%	0.20	3	-0.08	8	87%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	76%	0.15	3	-0.14	7	86%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	64%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.19	-0.05	-0.00	7	0%	-0.14	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.0	26.2	19.7	31.0	2.5	30.5	137.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +2.3%

UTA +12.6%

UTA +21.1%

UTA +2.2%

UTA +11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.5	98.9	90.3	100.9
season	16.0	15.8		105.3	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.3	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	14.7	17.0	21.5	16.8
POR	13.2	16.0	14.9	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	71	75	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.24	15	-9	24	16.1	19.3	-3.19	14.6	14.2	0.43
Donyell Marshall	78	80	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-6	18	16.2	20.8	-4.62	14.5	14.3	0.24
John Stockton	59	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-2	10	15.5	19.2	-3.66	15.1	13.3	1.84
Bryon Russell	57	59	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	2	2	17.5	15.7	1.72	14.2	15.1	-0.99
John Starks	60	62	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	7	-8	17.6	15.2	2.41	14.6	14.3	0.39
Olden Polynice	51	51	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	7	-8	16.9	16.6	0.29	14.0	15.2	-1.19
Jacque Vaughn	32	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	8	-10	19.2	15.5	3.66	13.3	15.1	-1.84
Greg Ostertag	17	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	16.6	16.9	-0.20	16.1	14.2	1.87
Danny Manning	30	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	10	-14	17.2	16.6	0.58	14.8	14.4	0.35

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	38	35	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-12	18	13.2	15.4	-2.16	20.1	14.7	5.41
Shawn Kemp	16	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	16.1	14.2	1.87	16.6	16.9	-0.20
Detlef Schrempf	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-4	2	17.4	14.4	3.05	9.6	17.2	-7.63
Greg Anthony	43	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.33	7	-13	20	14.0	15.0	-1.00	19.3	14.8	4.53
Steven Smith	52	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-11	16	13.9	15.3	-1.48	18.5	14.6	3.86
Arvydas Sabonis	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-5	4	14.4	14.6	-0.25	17.8	16.2	1.64
Stacey Augmon	30	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	14.9	14.3	0.62	13.7	18.4	-4.76
Dale Davis	44	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	1	-8	14.5	14.5	0.01	15.5	17.9	-2.44
Damon Stoudamire	50	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	7	-20	15.0	14.0	1.00	14.8	19.3	-4.53
Rasheed Wallace	85	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-1	-4	14.3	16.4	-2.03	16.9	16.0	0.89
Bonzi Wells	66	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.29	-13	7	-20	15.3	12.6	2.66	16.0	18.8	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 111, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.38,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	94.0%
MIA 91, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.02,0.01,0	93.9%
ATL 95, LAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.8%