NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	91		Excitement	6.4 [486]		MVP	P.J. Brown (MIA): +13.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	1.2 [1040]		LVP	Tim Thomas (PHI): -17.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	5	87%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Voshon Lenard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	12	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	17	54%	0.05	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Dan Majerle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	13	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06
Terry Mills	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Ike Austin	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	37%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Eric Murdock	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.05	0.03	10	74%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Scott Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	9	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	13	50%	-0.10	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	27.6	16.8	28.3	2.4	30.2	133.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +65.6%

PHI -7.4%

MIA +5.4%

PHI -16.0%

MIA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	17.2	15.6	105.8	98.8	102.5
season	15.8	15.4		104.7	99.7
opponent	15.5	16.2		102.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.2	20.1	15.7	19.2	16.5
PHI	16.6	15.9	17.8	18.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	75	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-3	13	16.0	20.0	-4.04	17.4	16.1	1.31
Alonzo Mourning	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-1	9	16.4	16.7	-0.32	15.3	22.0	-6.67
P.J. Brown	44	43	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	16.7	16.2	0.56	19.8	14.6	5.22
Voshon Lenard	70	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	2	3	15.6	20.2	-4.64	16.7	19.1	-2.38
Dan Majerle	33	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.19	5	2	3	19.7	14.5	5.23	17.6	17.0	0.64
Jamal Mashburn	57	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	3	1	14.8	19.7	-4.85	16.5	18.7	-2.13
Ike Austin	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	4	-1	15.2	17.5	-2.27	19.5	15.2	4.30
Terry Mills	28	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	11	-15	18.0	15.8	2.21	14.0	18.7	-4.71
Eric Murdock	23	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	10	-13	20.2	15.1	5.11	19.2	16.5	2.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	25	26	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.12	12	-19	31	16.6	17.4	-0.81	21.0	14.5	6.48
Theo Ratliff	35	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.21	11	-18	29	16.5	17.7	-1.14	17.9	15.4	2.44
Terry Cummings	26	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	16.8	17.4	-0.53	19.9	14.9	5.03
Doug Overton	11	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-7	7	15.2	17.5	-2.33	19.2	16.0	3.15
Mark Davis	14	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-6	5	13.1	18.0	-4.96	17.3	16.3	0.98
Clar. Weatherspoon	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-9	11	15.4	18.1	-2.66	17.1	16.2	0.88
Scott Williams	24	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	7	-21	18.7	16.6	2.03	12.1	18.1	-5.93
Jim Jackson	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	0	-7	17.2	17.5	-0.34	15.7	21.4	-5.74
Tim Thomas	64	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	6	-19	18.0	15.0	3.00	15.7	18.7	-2.96
Allen Iverson	68	68	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	5	-17	18.0	14.2	3.72	15.7	19.6	-3.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	93.9%
MIL 111, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.38,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	93.9%
LAL 95, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.01,0,0	93.1%