NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	111		Excitement	7.7 [289]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +11.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.6 [505]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -18.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	10	48%	0.06	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	14	63%	0.14	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
David Wood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Johnny Newman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	5	37%	-0.07	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Vin Baker	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	18	52%	0.02	5	-0.17	12	92%	0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	19	68%	0.17	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	2	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	17	54%	0.08	2	-0.10	12	92%	0.05
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	8	28%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	5	21%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.10
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	15	41%	-0.06	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.0	30.2	14.6	31.0	1.8	40.5	145.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.4%

MIL +5.9%

MIL +25.2%

PHI -5.2%

MIL +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	13.8	15.6	111.0	104.0	104.4
season	16.0	14.7		103.9	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.5		108.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.6	15.0	15.3	15.7	15.2
PHI	14.2	14.3	14.0	12.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	60	61	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-7	22	14.3	16.5	-2.26	14.0	13.4	0.52
Sherman Douglas	65	64	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-9	26	15.5	14.6	0.83	13.3	14.7	-1.42
Vin Baker	82	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-5	18	14.7	17.1	-2.37	13.6	14.7	-1.13
Glenn Robinson	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-4	16	15.3	14.7	0.53	13.3	15.8	-2.50
Andrew Lang	55	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	4	0	15.3	15.0	0.27	14.2	13.1	1.13
Armen Gilliam	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	2	4	16.6	13.9	2.72	13.7	13.8	-0.03
Joe Wolf	7	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	10	-12	12.9	15.3	-2.49	14.0	13.8	0.24
Darrin Hancock	15	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	13	-18	14.6	15.3	-0.67	14.0	13.7	0.27
David Wood	6	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	13	-18	13.7	15.3	-1.60	13.4	13.8	-0.39
Elliot Perry	35	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	17	-26	14.6	15.5	-0.83	14.7	13.3	1.42
Johnny Newman	47	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	14	-20	16.0	14.4	1.61	14.1	13.5	0.54

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	22	25	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.10	7	-15	22	15.7	13.2	2.46	13.6	15.7	-2.15
Scott Williams	35	34	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.14	8	-16	24	12.9	14.3	-1.41	16.3	14.6	1.75
Lucious Harris	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-10	12	13.8	13.8	0.04	13.9	15.7	-1.86
Don MacLean	32	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-10	12	14.5	13.4	1.13	15.6	15.0	0.65
Mark Davis	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-8	8	15.2	13.1	2.08	15.2	15.2	0.01
Michael Cage	44	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	7	-22	15.6	12.3	3.28	14.8	15.5	-0.72
Clar. Weatherspoon	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	2	-12	13.5	14.4	-0.89	15.4	14.7	0.66
Derrick Coleman	83	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	13.2	16.9	-3.71	15.0	15.9	-0.84
Jerry Stackhouse	74	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	3	-14	13.2	15.4	-2.13	15.4	14.7	0.69
Allen Iverson	78	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.16	-15	7	-22	13.1	16.2	-3.14	15.5	14.0	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.38,0.21,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	94.0%
MIA 91, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.02,0.01,0	93.9%
DAL 90, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	93.1%