NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	85		Excitement	5.7 [638]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +16.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	76		Comeback	1.2 [385]		LVP	Rodney Carney (PHI): -20.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.07	-0.05	25	58%	0.21	4	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	13	54%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Shawne Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.04	7	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	10	24%	-0.06	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	21	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	0.04	19	49%	0.02	4	-0.09	5	20%	-0.05
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	12	23%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	14	18%	-0.17	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	11	9%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	28.6	15.6	22.8	1.7	27.6	121.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +63.7%

IND +3.2%

PHI -7.1%

PHI -13.6%

IND +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.4	85.9	76.8	105.7
season	13.8	15.2		104.5	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.2		104.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	11.5	15.7	18.6	14.5
PHI	14.0	13.8	17.0	14.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	89	89	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-2	13	15.1	8.9	6.18	14.7	13.8	0.93
Marquis Daniels	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	0	9	14.8	13.5	1.33	14.8	14.1	0.70
Mike Dunleavy	83	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	14.4	14.7	-0.35	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Travis Diener	55	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	2	5	15.3	13.3	2.00	14.7	14.6	0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	43	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-2	13	14.1	14.7	-0.68	15.7	13.8	1.92
Ronald Murray	44	42	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	7	-5	13.3	15.3	-2.00	14.6	14.7	-0.07
Troy Murphy	63	61	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	13	-17	14.6	14.2	0.41	13.7	16.1	-2.43
Shawne Williams	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	8	-7	10.1	15.1	-5.04	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Jeff Foster	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	10	-11	14.1	14.7	-0.61	14.9	14.5	0.39

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	4	3	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-12	15	8.0	14.9	-6.92	11.0	14.6	-3.56
Shavlik Randolph	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	4.7	15.1	-10.30	27.7	13.9	13.86
Willie Green	56	56	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-15	21	13.2	16.5	-3.23	15.3	13.4	1.91
Jason Smith	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-7	5	14.0	15.0	-1.01	13.8	14.8	-0.95
Rodney Carney	47	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-4	-1	16.0	13.4	2.64	13.1	15.7	-2.60
Andre Miller	75	75	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	14.9	14.0	0.90	13.9	16.0	-2.09
Kevin Ollie	18	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-10	11	13.8	14.8	-1.05	18.9	13.5	5.42
Andre Iguodala	61	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	15.2	13.7	1.55	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Thaddeus Young	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	2	-13	14.3	15.6	-1.37	14.0	15.7	-1.76
Samuel Dalembert	77	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	4	-17	15.6	11.4	4.15	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Lou Williams	47	49	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	7	-23	15.1	14.2	0.85	15.0	13.9	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 105, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	94.3%
DAL 108, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
IND 99, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.1%