inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 108 Excitement5.4 [710] MVPCourtney Alexander (DAL): +11.7%
Denver Nuggets 96 Comeback1.2 [630] LVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): -16.2%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Alexander0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.04-0.011258%0.1200.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.030.011763%0.141-0.047100%0.03
Dirk Nowitzki0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.031358%0.0400.00580%0.01
Christian Laettner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01650%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Howard Eisley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.04674%0.041-0.03786%-0.00
Eduardo Najera-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hubert Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01972%0.115-0.1300%0.00
Loy Vaught-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.01450%-0.011-0.03450%-0.03
Steve Nash-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.04637%-0.043-0.034100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.011470%0.123-0.05580%0.01
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00853%0.031-0.043100%0.03
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.00650%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.021154%0.012-0.0620%-0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.030.041161%-0.011-0.04683%0.02
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.030.00520%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.06-0.01544%-0.052-0.07650%-0.05
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.06-0.001050%-0.005-0.16450%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.026.515.728.32.035.2133.4
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +36.6%
DAL +2.5%
DEN -12.1%
DAL +21.2%
DAL +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game16.014.515.5114.9101.1100.9
season15.215.2104.6101.4
opponent15.215.3104.1101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.717.415.317.716.0
DEN15.613.916.012.314.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Courtney Alexander42440.71-0.210.930.0124-123616.615.61.0415.613.52.14
Howard Eisley49490.470.030.450.0913-11417.014.92.1313.116.0-2.90
Dirk Nowitzki73730.470.030.430.141111016.314.91.4414.713.80.90
Eduardo Najera39380.450.050.390.121111017.515.02.4612.116.0-3.89
Michael Finley86870.450.050.390.121111016.313.42.8914.514.40.10
Shawn Bradley35360.150.35-0.20-0.0266014.816.7-1.9015.114.11.09
Loy Vaught13140.110.39-0.28-0.0457-215.816.0-0.2017.513.93.56
Steve Nash55560.030.47-0.440.12-315-1815.516.8-1.3214.514.40.18
Christian Laettner3131-0.130.63-0.760.10-820-2815.516.3-0.7116.013.72.28
Hubert Davis4747-0.210.71-0.910.09-1022-3214.217.9-3.6613.915.0-1.17

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad42430.14-0.640.77-0.108-202815.613.52.1115.716.3-0.64
Mark Strickland1513-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-10812.914.7-1.8213.216.5-3.24
Nick Van Exel5859-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-111014.015.1-1.1017.214.13.04
Keon Clark4543-0.11-0.390.28-0.141-131413.015.8-2.8615.216.7-1.45
James Posey5656-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-4-8415.113.51.6616.116.00.08
Tracy Murray1514-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-7-5-214.514.40.0817.215.81.40
George McCloud3838-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.09-6-6012.415.8-3.4517.215.21.95
Raef LaFrentz6364-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.06-10-2-815.013.41.6417.413.24.19
Robert Pack4543-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.10-10-2-813.915.0-1.0514.317.5-3.21
Antonio McDyess5960-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-142-1616.311.54.7315.916.2-0.34
Voshon Lenard3937-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.04-153-1814.214.6-0.4414.716.9-2.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 122, LAL 1130.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.03,0,0,094.5%
ORL 96, WAS 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,094.3%
IND 85, PHI 760.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%