NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	105		Excitement	6.2 [583]		MVP	David West (NOK): +16.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	1.4 [488]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -11.1%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.10	0.02	12	66%	0.22	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	11	79%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	56%	0.10	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	12	47%	-0.01	2	-0.00	12	75%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	64%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Brandon Bass	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	72%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	20	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	11	64%	0.15	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	14	38%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	1	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	13	40%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	35.2	15.7	24.1	1.7	40.8	146.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +22.0%

NOK +19.2%

NOK +20.9%

SEA -13.2%

NOK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	SEA	NBA	NOK	SEA	NBA
this game	17.3	13.7	15.6	114.1	105.3	104.4
season	16.3	15.0		101.2	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.3		112.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	16.2	15.5	20.0	17.7	17.3
SEA	14.5	14.5	12.7	13.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	73	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-2	10	16.7	19.7	-3.02	13.5	14.1	-0.61
Desmond Mason	50	50	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.15	12	-6	18	17.5	17.2	0.27	15.4	11.7	3.61
Speedy Claxton	54	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	-1	8	16.1	19.0	-2.88	13.9	13.4	0.44
J.R. Smith	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	4	-2	16.6	18.6	-1.98	13.8	13.5	0.25
David West	74	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	5	-4	17.7	16.0	1.66	13.3	15.4	-2.05
Chris Paul	77	81	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	9	-12	17.9	14.5	3.43	12.9	18.3	-5.38
Brandon Bass	37	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	3	0	17.9	16.9	0.97	14.7	13.0	1.70
Bostjan Nachbar	36	37	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	18.9	16.3	2.60	12.6	14.4	-1.77

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	41	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-6	6	14.6	12.9	1.71	18.4	16.4	1.99
Damien Wilkins	22	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-9	12	12.0	14.2	-2.24	13.5	18.5	-5.00
Nick Collison	68	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-11	16	13.5	14.2	-0.67	17.6	16.5	1.13
Mikki Moore	7	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	0	-6	17.7	13.3	4.37	13.0	17.7	-4.69
Mateen Cleaves	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-1	-4	17.2	12.9	4.31	17.5	17.3	0.20
Reggie Evans	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	3	-12	14.1	13.3	0.84	17.1	17.5	-0.38
Johan Petro	17	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-2	-2	13.6	13.7	-0.10	20.1	16.8	3.34
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-3	0	14.2	13.2	0.95	18.2	16.6	1.66
Luke Ridnour	78	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-5	4	12.9	17.2	-4.31	17.3	17.5	-0.20
Rashard Lewis	86	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-3	0	13.2	19.0	-5.83	17.2	18.3	-1.10
Ronald Murray	52	49	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	1	-8	13.4	14.0	-0.64	17.0	17.7	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.05,0,0	94.6%
MEM 113, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.1,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0	94.5%
VAN 101, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%