NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	6.2 [584]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +10.3%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.6 [1084]		LVP	Lou Amundson (NYK): -14.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.02	13	51%	0.13	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Marcus Smart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.10	3	-0.08	10	80%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Gigi Datome	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.03
Evan Turner	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.02	10	56%	0.06	5	-0.11	7	71%	-0.04
Jonas Jerebko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	20	57%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	13	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.05	13	52%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Ricky Ledo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	6	14%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	28.9	16.0	27.7	1.7	47.3	149.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +12.0%

BOS +23.8%

BOS +13.3%

NYK -3.3%

BOS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	13.2	17.5	15.1	102.1	97.9	104.2
season	14.3	16.1		103.1	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	13.6	13.0	11.0	13.2
NYK	17.2	17.7	19.1	16.0	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	72	73	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-2	8	12.6	15.2	-2.67	17.5	17.3	0.16
Isaiah Thomas	44	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-12	28	14.0	12.5	1.50	17.7	17.2	0.49
Kelly Olynyk	33	33	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-7	18	13.6	13.0	0.61	17.5	17.4	0.09
Jae Crowder	58	57	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	2	0	12.9	13.6	-0.65	17.1	18.1	-0.98
Marcus Smart	69	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.45	-5	9	-14	12.6	14.7	-2.10	17.5	17.3	0.15
Brandon Bass	71	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	8	-12	12.8	14.5	-1.72	17.8	16.5	1.34
Jonas Jerebko	25	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-5	14	13.9	12.9	1.01	16.9	17.7	-0.74
Avery Bradley	65	67	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.43	-9	13	-22	13.2	13.1	0.16	17.7	16.9	0.75
Gigi Datome	10	8	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	0	4	14.8	13.0	1.81	15.6	17.6	-2.00
Tyler Zeller	23	23	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	14	-24	15.0	12.6	2.41	17.2	17.5	-0.38

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-5	6	18.5	16.7	1.77	13.7	12.8	0.92
Lance Thomas	58	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-6	8	18.2	16.2	1.96	13.9	12.1	1.84
Langston Galloway	64	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-12	20	17.0	18.5	-1.58	13.0	13.6	-0.57
Jason Smith	26	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-8	12	16.0	18.0	-1.96	12.0	13.7	-1.73
Quincy Acy	25	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	3	-10	15.5	18.2	-2.69	14.8	12.6	2.16
Andrea Bargnani	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	18.1	14.7	3.41	12.9	14.2	-1.29
Ricky Ledo	38	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	11	-26	18.1	17.0	1.04	13.3	13.1	0.23
Shane Larkin	86	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-3	2	17.6	16.4	1.18	13.3	12.4	0.88
Cleanthony Early	58	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	6	-16	16.6	18.8	-2.23	12.4	14.6	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.02,0.01,0	94.7%
NOK 105, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	94.6%
CHA 98, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0,0	94.5%