inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 94 Excitement5.8 [628] MVPChris Bosh (TOR): +13.4%
Toronto Raptors 88 Comeback1.9 [297] LVPVince Carter (TOR): -27.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bonzi Wells0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.00580%0.101-0.0400%0.00
Shane Battier0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.030.00478%0.081-0.031100%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00467%0.042-0.0510%-0.02
Stromile Swift-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01967%0.084-0.09967%-0.03
Jason Williams-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.03,-0.02,-0.010.03-0.000.04972%0.093-0.1100%0.00
James Posey-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00837%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Earl Watson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00660%0.032-0.073100%0.01
Mike Miller-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.0040%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.110,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.150.00-0.041352%-0.015-0.101850%-0.10

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.130.130.090.04-0.011071%0.1300.00475%0.01
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.00869%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.02460%0.0500.002100%0.02
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.040.00633%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1-0.100.05-0.070.071369%0.023-0.1200%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.070.011647%-0.042-0.07250%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.21-0.07-0.012232%-0.203-0.07667%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.424.20.228.22.532.5114.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +48.3%
MEM +8.0%
TOR -3.5%
TOR -4.3%
MEM +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMTORNBAMEMTORNBA
this game14.416.915.7102.295.7100.5
season15.316.8102.394.8
opponent15.715.798.4100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.913.814.014.014.4
TOR16.916.218.016.716.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw52550.83-0.331.150.0925-194414.414.30.1218.215.03.20
Earl Watson37380.430.070.350.1011-51614.014.7-0.7017.716.41.31
Stromile Swift47480.410.090.320.217-1813.914.9-1.0216.617.2-0.56
Shane Battier45450.370.130.230.1960612.616.1-3.5916.217.6-1.40
Bonzi Wells45470.350.150.210.1860613.815.0-1.2416.117.8-1.65
Mike Miller47450.150.35-0.210.1506-615.013.81.2417.816.11.65
James Posey50490.140.36-0.230.19-28-1015.313.31.9517.216.60.62
Jason Williams55540.070.43-0.350.22-511-1614.714.00.7016.417.7-1.31
Pau Gasol6058-0.030.53-0.560.26-1016-2614.614.00.6516.417.8-1.35
Jake Tsakalidis2221-0.210.71-0.920.02-814-2216.513.72.7116.417.1-0.69

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson6668-0.09-0.410.33-0.328-142216.518.1-1.6214.813.11.71
Milt Palacio1214-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-6615.017.2-2.2014.814.30.47
Dion Glover1211-0.10-0.400.310.02-4-2-215.517.1-1.6313.814.5-0.65
Chris Bosh5861-0.15-0.350.20-0.243-91216.317.9-1.5813.715.7-1.99
Vince Carter8282-0.24-0.260.02-0.333-91217.015.91.1414.216.1-1.92
Corie Blount2020-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-115-1617.516.70.8115.914.01.93
Donyell Marshall8079-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-7816.916.70.1914.115.9-1.78
Michael Curry3230-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.04-115-1617.716.51.1914.914.20.71
Rod Strickland3734-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.03-137-2018.016.21.8613.514.9-1.37
Jalen Rose6161-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.26-60-617.116.50.6514.913.31.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.02,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 98, NYK 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0,094.9%
BOS 96, NYK 920.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.05,0,094.7%
NOK 105, SEA 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,094.0%