NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	98		Excitement	6.1 [601]		MVP	Jake Voskuhl (CHA): +15.3%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.4 [485]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (NYK): -15.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.02	11	65%	0.19	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00
Kevin Burleson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	7	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	10	75%	0.11	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	38%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	16	47%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	15	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	10	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	7	73%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	17	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	14	71%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	8	32%	-0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	7	43%	-0.02	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	10	40%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.5	28.4	17.4	26.4	2.5	34.6	133.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +29.7%

CHA +0.9%

CHA +1.8%

CHA +11.7%

CHA +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.6	105.4	98.9	104.4
season	14.8	15.7		100.5	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	13.2	15.6	16.0	15.0
NYK	16.8	16.8	17.8	13.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	71	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-5	17	14.8	15.5	-0.65	15.6	18.0	-2.44
Jake Voskuhl	54	54	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-8	23	14.7	15.4	-0.75	16.4	15.8	0.51
Raymond Felton	80	81	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	4	-1	15.1	14.5	0.54	15.9	18.0	-2.11
Lonny Baxter	19	19	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	0	7	15.8	14.8	1.06	17.4	15.8	1.61
Melvin Ely	55	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	7	-7	15.7	13.9	1.82	16.4	15.8	0.55
Kevin Burleson	17	16	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	1	5	15.4	14.9	0.50	17.6	15.8	1.72
Jumaine Jones	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	7	-7	14.7	15.4	-0.73	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Alan Anderson	66	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	6	-5	14.5	16.2	-1.67	16.4	15.4	0.99
Primoz Brezec	54	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.17	-9	16	-25	15.1	14.8	0.31	16.0	16.3	-0.24

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	42	42	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-13	19	18.0	14.6	3.38	15.2	14.8	0.39
Eddy Curry	47	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-16	25	16.6	15.7	0.89	15.4	14.5	0.90
Qyntel Woods	64	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-10	13	16.1	16.3	-0.21	15.1	14.7	0.43
Jamal Crawford	83	84	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-12	17	15.9	18.7	-2.80	15.2	13.0	2.21
Nate Robinson	66	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.18	-4	-3	-1	16.3	15.6	0.73	14.2	16.9	-2.76
David Lee	20	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	3	-13	17.5	15.8	1.74	13.5	15.4	-1.85
Jackie Butler	33	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	3	-13	16.3	16.1	0.25	16.4	14.2	2.18
Ime Udoka	47	49	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.20	-16	9	-25	14.9	17.4	-2.46	14.9	15.1	-0.13
Maurice Taylor	58	58	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.20	-18	11	-29	15.1	17.9	-2.81	14.7	15.5	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.02,0.01,0	94.9%
BOS 96, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.05,0,0	94.5%
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	94.4%