NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	113		Excitement	6.4 [579]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (MEM): +15.0%
LA Clippers	104		Comeback	1.1 [473]		LVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): -15.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.07	0.05	-0.03	13	62%	0.19	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Brandan Wright	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	7	65%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
James Ennis III	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	6	108%	0.14	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	15	60%	0.15	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	18	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Jarell Martin	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	0.00	7	86%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.02	0.06	18	55%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.07	0.02	17	67%	0.15	5	-0.15	11	82%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	1	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	9	32%	-0.11	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.7	14.0	29.2	2.4	34.5	136.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +42.0%

MEM +11.8%

LAC -7.8%

MEM +8.7%

LAC -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	14.7	118.9	113.0	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		103.4	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.3	16.1	16.0	15.0	15.3
LAC	17.1	13.9	16.7	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	52	48	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-2	13	15.1	15.6	-0.47	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Mike Conley	63	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-2	13	15.8	14.4	1.39	16.5	13.6	2.89
James Ennis III	58	57	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	0	9	15.3	15.4	-0.09	16.3	14.1	2.25
Chandler Parsons	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-1	11	13.6	16.6	-2.98	16.5	14.7	1.85
Mario Chalmers	59	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	0	9	13.9	17.6	-3.72	13.9	18.2	-4.28
Dillon Brooks	59	57	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.15	-2	11	-13	15.6	14.9	0.75	15.1	16.1	-0.93
Marc Gasol	60	61	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	11	-13	16.6	13.2	3.37	15.1	16.1	-0.98
Tyreke Evans	61	58	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	9	-9	15.7	14.6	1.15	15.1	16.1	-0.92
Jarell Martin	22	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	10	-11	16.2	15.1	1.17	17.0	15.0	2.03

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Reed	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-7	5	15.6	15.5	0.16	11.0	16.0	-5.01
Montrezl Harrell	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-8	7	15.4	15.5	-0.11	13.2	15.5	-2.32
Wesley Johnson	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-5	1	16.3	15.1	1.16	12.7	16.5	-3.75
Austin Rivers	71	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-7	5	15.4	15.7	-0.24	16.6	11.4	5.19
Lou Williams	51	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-6	3	13.3	18.2	-4.99	13.6	17.6	-4.06
Sindarius Thornwell	21	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	15.7	15.4	0.24	11.6	16.5	-4.91
Blake Griffin	68	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-6	3	15.1	16.5	-1.33	16.4	12.4	4.00
DeAndre Jordan	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	15.9	14.6	1.35	17.3	11.5	5.72
Patrick Beverley	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	15.5	15.2	0.31	16.6	11.5	5.08
Danilo Gallinari	67	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	3	-15	16.7	12.2	4.45	14.7	17.2	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.1,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	95.2%
NOK 105, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	94.5%
WAS 103, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%