NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	5.8 [646]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +19.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.4 [415]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -13.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.13	0.04	20	65%	0.21	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.06	0.02	20	67%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Gerard King	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	43%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Felipe Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	8	35%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	12	17%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	11	40%	-0.08	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	10	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	65%	0.10	5	-0.15	7	71%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	27.0	17.0	27.2	2.7	29.0	132.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +15.6%

LAC -1.0%

WAS +15.3%

WAS +20.9%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	15.5	109.6	102.2	100.9
season	15.2	16.1		98.6	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	14.7	16.7	17.0	16.0
LAC	14.4	16.0	16.8	13.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	80	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.16	14	-5	19	15.9	16.3	-0.37	14.3	19.0	-4.73
Calvin Booth	62	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	1	7	16.0	15.9	0.14	14.1	16.4	-2.30
Gerard King	39	40	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	-1	11	15.6	16.3	-0.69	13.3	16.3	-2.94
Juwan Howard	81	80	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	6	-3	16.1	15.2	0.94	15.2	13.7	1.43
Rod Strickland	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	5	-1	15.8	16.4	-0.58	15.4	13.8	1.58
Chris Whitney	26	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	4	1	16.4	15.8	0.58	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Michael Smith	17	15	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	5	-1	15.2	16.1	-0.89	15.7	14.8	0.89
Tyrone Nesby	51	49	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	8	-7	16.3	15.6	0.76	15.8	14.0	1.77
Jahidi White	32	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	8	-7	15.9	16.0	-0.14	16.4	14.1	2.30
Felipe Lopez	14	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	14	-19	16.3	15.9	0.37	19.0	14.3	4.73

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	23	24	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-11	13	15.9	14.7	1.23	16.1	15.9	0.15
Brian Skinner	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-5	1	17.3	13.6	3.70	15.8	16.1	-0.22
Corey Maggette	33	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-5	1	12.1	16.6	-4.52	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Michael Olowokandi	33	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-2	-5	17.9	13.3	4.60	17.0	15.4	1.60
Sean Rooks	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	14.2	15.9	-1.68	15.4	16.6	-1.25
Keyon Dooling	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	13.5	16.6	-3.03	16.2	15.8	0.41
Jeff McInnis	51	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-3	-3	16.6	13.0	3.54	15.9	16.1	-0.23
Eric Piatkowski	59	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-7	5	14.1	16.5	-2.43	16.2	15.6	0.64
Darius Miles	55	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-6	3	13.7	16.9	-3.27	16.1	15.7	0.39
Lamar Odom	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-1	-7	15.6	12.1	3.52	16.0	15.9	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, CHA 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.2%
LAC 102, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.23,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	94.7%
DET 89, MIL 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%