NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	6.1 [592]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +18.0%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.2 [539]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): -14.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	14	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	13	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	4	82%	0.10	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	15	55%	0.01	4	-0.08	8	87%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	12	48%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.01	7	75%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	2	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	7	57%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	25	44%	-0.04	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.04	17	39%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.07	0.04	10	50%	-0.05	3	-0.10	12	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	32.4	15.8	26.4	2.8	43.0	148.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.5%

LAC +5.8%

LAC +9.0%

ATL -9.8%

LAC +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	15.6	103.0	97.9	104.4
season	15.2	15.6		103.9	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.3	12.3	15.9	15.0	14.1
ATL	15.0	16.5	14.8	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	69	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-4	15	14.1	14.0	0.05	14.8	16.5	-1.79
Chris Kaman	57	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-1	9	13.5	14.9	-1.37	14.5	16.5	-1.96
Daniel Ewing	25	24	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-4	15	13.2	14.4	-1.16	17.6	14.6	3.05
Quinton Ross	75	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	7	-7	14.1	14.0	0.09	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Elton Brand	82	80	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	4	-1	14.1	13.9	0.16	15.0	16.9	-1.95
Corey Maggette	52	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	7	-7	13.9	14.3	-0.35	15.7	14.9	0.79
Sam Cassell	79	77	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.27	-2	9	-11	14.3	13.3	0.90	14.9	17.1	-2.23
Chris Wilcox	20	20	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.07	3	4	-1	14.1	14.1	0.10	16.6	15.0	1.60
Zeljko Rebraca	36	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	6	-5	15.2	13.4	1.85	17.1	14.3	2.74

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Esteban Batista	2	2	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-11	15	19.0	15.3	3.75	7.5	14.2	-6.71
Donta Smith	1	2	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-9	11	26.0	15.2	10.78	7.5	14.2	-6.71
John Edwards	16	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-4	1	20.5	14.3	6.19	11.9	14.5	-2.60
Salim Stoudamire	59	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-9	11	15.4	15.3	0.07	14.6	13.3	1.26
Josh Smith	22	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	17.6	14.7	2.98	14.8	13.9	0.90
Josh Childress	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-4	1	14.5	15.9	-1.37	13.8	14.3	-0.45
Zaza Pachulia	77	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-5	3	14.3	19.2	-4.88	14.7	11.4	3.34
Tyronn Lue	42	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	4	-15	15.8	15.0	0.76	13.0	14.9	-1.81
Marvin Williams	55	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	15.7	14.8	0.92	14.5	13.5	0.99
Joe Johnson	92	93	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	15.1	20.4	-5.35	14.0	14.7	-0.63
Al Harrington	78	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	0	-7	14.6	18.4	-3.78	14.0	14.2	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.23,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, CHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	94.9%
WAS 103, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%
POR 91, TOR 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%