inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 89 Excitement4.9 [866] MVPTayshaun Prince (DET): +7.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 78 Comeback1.2 [371] LVPCarlos Delfino (MIL): -12.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.001057%0.0700.0010%-0.01
Austin Daye0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02570%0.0500.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.011454%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.011459%0.144-0.116100%0.03
Charlie Villanueva0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.01643%0.0200.002100%0.00
Chris Wilcox-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Will Bynum-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.01575%0.073-0.10250%-0.01
Greg Monroe-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.01650%-0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Ben Wallace-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01025%-0.021-0.03425%-0.02
Ben Gordon-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.030.02757%0.013-0.08786%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00180%0.051-0.02367%-0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.06480%0.0100.002100%0.00
Garrett Temple00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01550%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.05-0.030.021556%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Larry Sanders0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.050.011262%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.02729%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00643%-0.012-0.072100%0.02
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.001127%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.00530%-0.033-0.0700%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.001133%-0.062-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.41.825.215.725.01.833.2128.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +52.5%
MIL -2.9%
DET +7.5%
MIL -8.3%
DET +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game17.015.515.5100.088.6105.7
season16.716.2106.4100.1
opponent15.415.2100.9110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.417.317.716.817.0
MIL14.214.617.416.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton37380.410.090.310.1492715.917.9-1.9715.915.20.76
Will Bynum34340.360.140.210.1283515.518.0-2.4516.215.01.22
Charlie Villanueva25260.340.160.180.0892715.917.5-1.5617.314.72.64
Austin Daye53530.300.200.100.1556-116.617.7-1.0414.916.4-1.47
Greg Monroe60610.290.210.090.0974317.516.11.4015.814.90.87
Ben Wallace51480.260.240.020.1738-517.216.90.3115.715.20.58
Tayshaun Prince64620.160.34-0.180.1029-717.515.91.5614.717.3-2.64
Chris Wilcox14140.150.35-0.20-0.0574316.217.2-0.9915.615.50.18
Tracy McGrady55540.140.36-0.210.0638-518.015.52.4515.016.2-1.22
Ben Gordon52500.090.41-0.310.0329-717.915.91.9715.215.9-0.76

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrett Temple43-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-13158.515.8-7.3225.716.78.92
Earl Boykins1616-0.10-0.400.29-0.08-1-10913.316.0-2.6618.216.81.39
Larry Sanders1616-0.10-0.400.29-0.08-1-10913.316.0-2.6618.216.81.39
Chris Douglas-Roberts1616-0.10-0.400.29-0.08-1-10913.316.0-2.6618.216.81.39
Brandon Jennings4246-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-7316.015.10.8918.115.92.25
Andrew Bogut6670-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-8515.615.00.5917.116.70.39
Keyon Dooling3027-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-6-5-116.015.20.7814.518.1-3.63
Carlos Delfino5859-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-6-5-116.313.92.4616.717.8-1.09
Luc Mbah a Moute4846-0.23-0.270.04-0.17-2-9715.515.5-0.0717.017.1-0.14
Corey Maggette5963-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.13-6-5-115.515.50.0117.516.01.48
John Salmons3937-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-110-1115.815.20.6415.718.0-2.30
Ersan Ilyasova4646-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-165-2116.114.91.2116.617.5-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 98, WAS 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.7%
WAS 103, LAC 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.7%
CLE 102, PHI 920.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,094.6%