NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	5.2 [773]		MVP	A.J. Price (IND): +20.8%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	1.2 [262]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -12.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Price	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.08	0.01	11	72%	0.24	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	12	75%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Copeland	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.08	-0.03	11	59%	0.17	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.02	0.06	14	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	46%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	11	36%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.05	0.08	17	67%	0.17	1	-0.03	14	79%	0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	87%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	17	44%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	15	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	29.3	15.8	26.3	3.3	34.4	134.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +52.9%

CHI -0.9%

IND +3.7%

CHI -9.9%

IND +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	15.1	105.3	94.7	104.2
season	16.0	15.5		102.3	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.9	16.2	15.2	15.9	16.0
CHI	16.6	16.5	14.2	11.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	46	47	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-6	21	16.0	16.0	-0.06	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Ian Mahinmi	24	25	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-5	19	16.7	15.8	0.99	14.0	14.6	-0.59
A.J. Price	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	5	-1	16.0	16.0	0.02	12.1	17.1	-4.93
Chris Copeland	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	3	3	17.1	12.0	5.09	14.6	14.1	0.49
Lavoy Allen	36	35	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	2	5	17.7	14.9	2.77	13.6	15.0	-1.43
Luis Scola	58	60	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	7	-5	14.9	17.7	-2.77	15.0	13.6	1.43
Solomon Hill	64	65	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	13	-17	15.8	16.4	-0.57	14.8	13.8	0.94
Donald Sloan	48	50	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	3	3	14.5	17.6	-3.13	16.2	12.6	3.60
Roy Hibbert	69	69	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	14	-19	15.8	16.5	-0.64	14.8	13.5	1.34

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	51	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-9	9	16.3	12.4	3.89	16.3	15.6	0.70
Kirk Hinrich	62	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-10	11	14.7	14.0	0.68	16.4	15.2	1.18
Nikola Mirotic	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-5	1	16.0	14.3	1.73	15.7	16.0	-0.35
Tony Snell	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-8	7	12.1	15.4	-3.35	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Pau Gasol	65	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-13	17	15.0	13.4	1.62	16.0	16.0	0.06
Jimmy Butler	81	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-12	15	14.2	16.0	-1.79	16.1	15.2	0.91
Joakim Noah	67	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	3	-15	13.9	15.8	-1.91	15.4	17.5	-2.17
Taj Gibson	47	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	14.2	14.7	-0.52	16.9	15.0	1.89
Aaron Brooks	35	35	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	4	-17	14.3	14.5	-0.21	15.4	16.4	-1.02
Doug McDermott	29	28	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	8	-25	13.9	14.7	-0.78	15.6	16.2	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
IND 85, PHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
ATL 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%