NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	110		Excitement	6.1 [577]		MVP	Howard Eisley (DAL): +16.9%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	1.3 [1168]		LVP	Chris Garner (GSW): -13.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	4	90%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	18	51%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	85%	0.18	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	18	70%	0.16	5	-0.12	7	86%	-0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	48%	-0.05	1	-0.04	13	77%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Porter	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.02	14	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	18	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	19	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	18	72%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	11	42%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	5	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.0	33.8	15.8	26.0	1.8	39.0	144.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +69.3%

DAL +11.3%

GSW -5.0%

GSW -19.3%

GSW -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	13.7	14.8	15.5	108.9	100.0	100.9
season	15.2	15.0		104.6	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.0	13.4	12.9	15.5	13.7
GSW	15.8	13.3	15.9	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-3	15	13.9	13.3	0.58	15.5	13.6	1.83
Shawn Bradley	39	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-4	17	13.6	13.8	-0.17	14.5	15.0	-0.45
Michael Finley	96	96	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	4	1	13.6	15.2	-1.59	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Eduardo Najera	21	20	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	1	7	13.2	13.8	-0.63	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Howard Eisley	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	5	-1	13.5	14.0	-0.47	13.5	16.4	-2.92
Dirk Nowitzki	71	72	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	3	3	13.6	13.9	-0.25	15.2	13.9	1.35
Juwan Howard	73	74	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	8	-7	13.6	14.0	-0.38	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Calvin Booth	50	50	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	14	-19	14.7	12.7	1.95	15.8	13.9	1.90
Wang Zhi-zhi	21	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	8	-7	13.0	13.9	-0.94	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Vernon Maxwell	12	13	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	9	-9	13.7	13.7	-0.03	16.2	14.6	1.62

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	41	42	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-13	17	14.5	15.1	-0.60	14.1	13.4	0.73
Adam Keefe	41	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	14.6	14.9	-0.32	13.5	13.9	-0.41
Vonteego Cummings	90	90	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-8	7	14.7	15.9	-1.22	13.8	12.5	1.39
Chris Garner	22	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	14.8	14.8	-0.06	14.3	13.5	0.79
Chris Porter	80	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	14.4	16.3	-1.85	13.8	13.2	0.65
Antawn Jamison	95	92	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	1	-11	14.9	13.8	1.05	13.3	18.1	-4.85
Adonal Foyle	66	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	3	-15	15.8	12.9	2.88	13.8	13.5	0.27
Corie Blount	70	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	3	-15	14.7	15.0	-0.26	13.5	14.1	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 99, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.7%
DAL 101, UTA 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.4%
UTA 112, SEA 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.3%