NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	4.8 [859]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +27.0%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	1.1 [464]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): -13.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.16	0.06	-0.05	12	79%	0.28	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.06	0.04	14	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	16	66%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	43%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	11	23%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	5	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.07	14	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	11	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.06	-0.05	0.11	21	57%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	28.5	15.6	21.2	2.4	36.6	133.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.5%

DAL +10.7%

DAL +4.2%

DAL +6.6%

UTA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	15.3	14.9	112.2	103.4	105.1
season	15.5	16.3		105.0	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.7		102.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.6	16.0	20.4	15.3	16.9
UTA	17.7	14.6	16.5	13.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	52	51	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	-8	25	16.3	17.7	-1.43	15.9	14.3	1.60
Dirk Nowitzki	58	60	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-5	19	17.0	16.8	0.15	15.3	15.2	0.13
Deron Williams	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	4	1	17.1	16.1	1.00	14.6	17.7	-3.15
Wesley Matthews	70	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	17.7	14.0	3.68	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Salah Mejri	31	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	3	3	15.2	17.8	-2.57	16.9	14.4	2.48
Zaza Pachulia	48	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	3	3	18.5	15.0	3.49	15.8	14.6	1.22
Justin Anderson	31	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	9	-9	14.2	18.3	-4.10	12.9	16.6	-3.69
Raymond Felton	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	11	-13	17.0	16.8	0.23	15.4	15.1	0.26
David Lee	28	25	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	11	-13	18.6	16.1	2.46	18.0	14.2	3.76
Devin Harris	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	12	-15	14.5	17.5	-2.94	12.5	15.9	-3.36

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	19	19	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-12	15	15.5	15.2	0.34	16.9	16.9	-0.02
Raul Neto	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-10	11	18.4	14.7	3.76	15.9	17.1	-1.15
Rudy Gobert	24	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-6	3	15.8	15.1	0.73	14.5	17.8	-3.29
Trevor Booker	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-12	15	14.3	16.2	-1.89	18.6	15.4	3.20
Jeff Withey	8	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-5	1	18.1	15.0	3.15	15.1	17.1	-1.92
Joe Ingles	45	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-9	9	13.8	16.8	-3.04	15.5	18.2	-2.68
Derrick Favors	45	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-5	1	16.8	13.7	3.03	19.5	14.0	5.46
Shelvin Mack	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	14.7	16.7	-2.04	17.0	16.7	0.35
Gordon Hayward	74	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	14.6	18.5	-3.86	17.1	16.1	0.99
Trey Lyles	45	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	4	-17	16.0	14.5	1.46	15.1	18.8	-3.64
Rodney Hood	63	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	3	-15	15.4	14.9	0.47	17.1	16.4	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
POR 104, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%
NJN 104, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%