NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	5.1 [787]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +21.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	1.7 [924]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -6.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	-0.00	-0.03	12	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	11	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	9	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	9	45%	0.04	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.04	-0.03	19	61%	0.21	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	19	62%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	7	87%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	13	63%	0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	-0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	46%	-0.00	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	25.0	14.8	25.1	1.7	28.0	122.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.8%

POR +10.3%

MIN -3.7%

POR +15.9%

POR +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	16.6	15.4	107.9	121.6	105.7
season	15.9	16.7		102.2	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		106.1	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	18.4	15.9	15.4	16.0
POR	17.7	15.9	16.8	15.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Richard	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-13	15	15.9	16.0	-0.11	15.3	16.9	-1.66
Kirk Snyder	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-9	7	15.8	16.1	-0.29	17.5	16.1	1.31
Craig Smith	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	16.2	15.8	0.37	15.9	17.0	-1.12
Rashad McCants	48	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-11	11	15.6	16.4	-0.81	16.4	16.7	-0.31
Randy Foye	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-6	1	15.6	17.1	-1.57	16.8	16.0	0.83
Ryan Gomes	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-2	-7	15.7	16.5	-0.80	17.3	15.0	2.29
Corey Brewer	58	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	1	-13	16.3	15.4	0.96	16.2	17.2	-1.07
Al Jefferson	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	1	-13	16.1	15.6	0.53	16.6	16.4	0.21
Marko Jaric	69	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	3	-17	16.4	14.4	2.03	16.4	17.1	-0.69

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	65	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-2	15	16.6	16.5	0.06	16.5	14.7	1.75
Brandon Roy	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-1	13	17.2	14.7	2.48	16.1	15.6	0.47
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	56	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	0	11	17.1	15.6	1.52	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Steve Blake	43	44	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	4	3	15.9	17.2	-1.34	16.0	15.9	0.09
Jarrett Jack	56	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.14	5	6	-1	16.4	16.8	-0.38	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Martell Webster	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	5	1	17.1	16.1	1.01	16.1	15.9	0.27
James Jones	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	6	-1	16.1	17.1	-1.01	15.9	16.1	-0.27
Travis Outlaw	31	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	11	-11	15.6	17.1	-1.52	16.2	15.8	0.42
Channing Frye	23	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	13	-15	16.5	16.6	-0.06	14.7	16.5	-1.75
Sergio Rodriguez	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	13	-15	16.2	16.6	-0.46	16.3	15.9	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 81, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.65,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 86, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 71, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%