NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	86		Excitement	5.4 [729]		MVP	Jerome James (SEA): +4.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	102		Comeback	2.3 [765]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -26.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Michael Doleac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	8	63%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.23	-0.06	-0.03	21	40%	-0.07	7	-0.20	10	90%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	78%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	15	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	22	55%	0.13	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.04	14	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	15	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	9	22%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	26.2	25.6	28.1	2.5	26.2	137.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +22.4%

DEN -1.2%

SEA +18.1%

SEA +9.2%

SEA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SEA	NBA	DEN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.7	94.5	112.1	100.5
season	14.9	15.6		101.6	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.2	16.4	15.9	14.5	15.2
SEA	15.8	16.3	16.1	17.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	9.7	15.4	-5.77	15.7	16.4	-0.77
Michael Doleac	14	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-14	12	14.5	15.4	-0.88	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Nene	48	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-12	8	16.3	14.1	2.22	16.2	16.6	-0.44
Francisco Elson	7	7	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-12	8	15.1	15.2	-0.11	15.7	16.5	-0.75
Chris Andersen	20	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-7	-2	15.8	15.1	0.78	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Jon Barry	64	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-12	8	14.2	17.8	-3.61	16.1	17.1	-0.98
Marcus Camby	61	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-10	4	15.3	15.2	0.11	16.5	16.3	0.19
Earl Boykins	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-4	-8	15.6	15.0	0.60	17.0	15.9	1.19
Rodney White	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	14.9	15.5	-0.51	16.7	16.2	0.52
Carmelo Anthony	80	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	-2	-12	14.9	17.5	-2.52	16.7	14.5	2.12
Andre Miller	77	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	-2	-12	15.9	11.4	4.51	16.4	16.3	0.17

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	73	73	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.01	22	-6	28	16.2	17.2	-1.02	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Ray Allen	74	75	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.00	20	-4	24	16.1	17.6	-1.45	16.3	10.2	6.13
Antonio Daniels	62	61	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	1	14	16.2	16.8	-0.52	15.3	15.2	0.11
Vitaly Potapenko	67	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.03	14	2	12	16.6	15.7	0.89	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Ronald Murray	45	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	9	-2	17.4	15.4	2.05	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Reggie Evans	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	13	-10	16.4	16.4	0.01	14.6	15.7	-1.15
Jerome James	20	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	12	-8	15.3	16.7	-1.35	16.6	14.9	1.74
Brent Barry	18	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	19	-22	15.0	16.8	-1.75	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Rashard Lewis	55	55	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.07	-2	18	-20	16.9	15.6	1.32	14.8	15.9	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 79, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAL 100, IND 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 85, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%