NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	4.6 [920]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +14.9%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	2.8 [674]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (LAL): -8.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	18	66%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	15	68%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	52%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Tyler Ennis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	19	49%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	14	34%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	15	59%	0.20	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.00	10	65%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.02	-0.06	13	57%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	12	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	15	66%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	26.6	15.4	25.4	1.6	27.4	122.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.9%

LAL -0.6%

LAL -7.5%

IND +22.7%

LAL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	13.6	16.8	14.7	106.4	115.8	107.5
season	13.7	14.8		105.7	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.8		106.7	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.8	14.9	16.1	12.1	13.6
IND	16.5	14.5	17.3	19.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Ennis	19	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-6	2	14.0	13.5	0.45	14.2	17.5	-3.32
Travis Wear	28	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-9	8	12.7	14.0	-1.37	16.0	17.1	-1.11
Ivica Zubac	15	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-3	-4	13.3	13.7	-0.36	14.8	17.3	-2.50
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	77	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-9	8	12.8	17.2	-4.39	17.2	15.0	2.19
Isaiah Thomas	53	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	13.1	14.3	-1.20	16.2	17.5	-1.26
Lonzo Ball	72	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-7	4	13.8	13.0	0.83	17.5	14.9	2.55
Brook Lopez	70	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	13.6	13.9	-0.32	17.3	15.5	1.77
Kyle Kuzma	71	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-4	-2	14.2	12.0	2.17	16.9	16.6	0.30
Julius Randle	65	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	3	-16	14.7	11.3	3.37	17.2	15.9	1.31

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	60	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-3	16	16.6	17.2	-0.65	13.2	14.4	-1.17
Thaddeus Young	69	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.14	13	-3	16	17.4	15.3	2.08	14.5	11.5	2.97
Myles Turner	55	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-6	22	18.0	15.2	2.76	15.0	11.7	3.37
Darren Collison	65	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	0	10	16.7	17.0	-0.31	14.2	12.3	1.92
Cory Joseph	58	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	5	0	17.6	15.6	1.96	12.8	14.9	-2.07
Victor Oladipo	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	7	-4	17.3	15.9	1.40	13.4	14.0	-0.60
Trevor Booker	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	10	-10	15.1	18.0	-2.95	12.1	14.7	-2.53
Bojan Bogdanovic	51	51	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	11	-12	15.7	18.1	-2.32	13.9	13.3	0.58
Al Jefferson	17	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	19	-28	14.8	17.3	-2.50	11.0	14.2	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 86, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 94, OKC 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.99,1	95.2%
DEN 67, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%