NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	81		Excitement	5.7 [674]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +19.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.8 [413]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -15.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	16	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	20	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	18	42%	-0.03	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Matt Bullard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	14	32%	-0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	0.00	10	83%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	12	73%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	12	36%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	15	49%	0.01	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	27.3	15.5	24.6	1.7	28.0	121.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.6%

CLE +16.8%

CHH -17.8%

CLE +10.6%

CLE +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CLE	NBA	CHH	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.6	89.0	101.1	102.3
season	15.9	15.8		102.2	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		106.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.3	14.1	16.0	15.5	15.5
CLE	13.7	17.2	14.7	18.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	12	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-9	6	13.7	15.7	-1.98	17.4	15.8	1.61
Robert Traylor	10	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-12	12	15.3	15.5	-0.19	16.3	15.9	0.36
Jamaal Magloire	16	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-7	2	14.9	15.6	-0.73	15.2	16.2	-0.94
Elden Campbell	71	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	15.3	16.2	-1.00	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Bryce Drew	28	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-7	2	15.4	15.5	-0.06	18.2	15.0	3.17
Lee Nailon	62	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	15.7	15.0	0.69	15.8	16.4	-0.56
Matt Bullard	19	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	15.4	15.5	-0.13	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Baron Davis	83	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-6	0	15.5	15.5	-0.03	16.3	12.8	3.57
P.J. Brown	74	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-5	-2	15.7	14.4	1.38	15.7	17.0	-1.28
David Wesley	80	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-1	-10	15.7	13.8	1.88	15.5	19.6	-4.12

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	66	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-3	18	15.0	18.7	-3.70	15.8	14.6	1.21
Wesley Person	81	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-3	18	16.0	16.4	-0.41	15.8	13.1	2.67
Chris Mihm	69	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-1	14	14.9	19.3	-4.46	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Lamond Murray	75	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	1	10	15.3	19.2	-3.90	15.4	15.6	-0.17
Andre Miller	67	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	1	10	15.4	17.7	-2.36	15.7	14.8	0.87
Bryant Stith	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	12	-12	17.7	15.8	1.85	16.6	15.4	1.20
Ricky Davis	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	14	-16	18.1	15.1	2.98	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Bimbo Coles	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	13	-14	18.5	15.0	3.43	15.3	15.5	-0.27
Brian Skinner	32	29	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	12	-12	18.6	14.6	4.02	14.4	16.0	-1.60
DeSagana Diop	7	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	14	-16	19.7	15.7	4.02	14.0	15.6	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.65,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DEN 86, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
GSW 90, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%