NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	103		Excitement	5.1 [785]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +16.5%
Indiana Pacers	113		Comeback	2.7 [601]		LVP	Josh Boone (NJN): -9.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	82%	0.11	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	21	63%	0.12	4	-0.08	12	58%	-0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	15	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	7	79%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Maurice Ager	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Josh Boone	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.02	0.06	20	69%	0.19	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	10	79%	0.16	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	16	46%	0.05	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	14	37%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.0	29.4	16.2	28.6	2.3	35.4	136.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +13.7%

IND +3.8%

IND +7.6%

IND +25.8%

NJN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	13.7	15.4	103.0	114.1	105.7
season	15.4	13.8		101.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.7	16.3	16.0	12.4	15.2
IND	14.0	15.7	11.7	13.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	24	24	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.08	9	-19	28	15.6	15.1	0.48	15.2	13.2	1.97
Maurice Ager	15	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-8	6	12.1	15.8	-3.63	10.7	14.2	-3.48
Trenton Hassell	47	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-11	12	15.0	15.5	-0.50	13.3	14.1	-0.76
Nenad Krstic	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-7	4	17.0	14.6	2.40	13.2	13.9	-0.73
Darrell Armstrong	53	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	14.3	16.3	-1.95	14.2	13.2	0.91
Sean Williams	26	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-10	10	12.4	16.2	-3.78	13.9	13.7	0.21
Bostjan Nachbar	57	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-12	14	14.4	16.3	-1.94	13.4	14.2	-0.77
Josh Boone	43	43	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	5	-20	16.3	14.4	1.86	13.3	14.0	-0.65
Marcus Williams	52	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	16.0	14.4	1.62	13.4	14.0	-0.58
Richard Jefferson	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	3	-16	15.5	14.4	1.08	14.1	12.3	1.86
Vince Carter	82	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	7	-24	16.1	11.3	4.74	14.0	12.2	1.86

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	89	90	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-4	18	13.7	14.2	-0.54	15.5	13.1	2.36
Mike Dunleavy	84	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-2	14	13.5	14.7	-1.12	15.5	13.7	1.75
Troy Murphy	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-1	12	13.0	14.8	-1.79	15.3	15.1	0.21
Kareem Rush	63	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	4	2	13.9	13.4	0.56	14.7	16.2	-1.45
Danny Granger	70	73	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	8	-6	13.5	14.2	-0.74	15.3	15.0	0.35
Jeff Foster	58	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	0	10	14.5	12.6	1.89	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Marquis Daniels	36	35	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	5	0	13.5	13.9	-0.38	14.1	15.8	-1.79
Shawne Williams	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	12	-14	13.9	13.6	0.27	15.5	15.1	0.31
David Harrison	8	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	18	-26	16.4	13.5	2.89	17.4	15.0	2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, HOU 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
BOS 94, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NJN 98, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%