NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	4.5 [947]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): +13.4%
Houston Rockets	122		Comeback	2.8 [973]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -11.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	14	72%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Nemanja Bjelica	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	-0.00	0.12	10	91%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	14	41%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.02	11	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	8	94%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	11	66%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.23	-0.01	0.13	14	81%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	21	52%	0.11	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zhou Qi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	16	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	30.0	15.8	30.4	2.7	28.2	134.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.0%

MIN -2.0%

HOU +10.9%

HOU +7.6%

HOU +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	14.7	114.3	132.6	107.5
season	15.3	14.6		111.8	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.4		105.6	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.2	14.6	18.7	13.8	15.5
HOU	16.1	16.0	14.9	16.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Georges-Hunt	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	3.0	15.8	-12.78	20.0	15.9	4.11
Derrick Rose	47	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-14	10	14.2	16.9	-2.69	16.4	15.5	0.96
Nemanja Bjelica	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-13	8	20.2	15.2	5.00	10.8	16.3	-5.50
Jamal Crawford	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-12	6	15.0	16.1	-1.05	16.2	15.7	0.57
Gorgui Dieng	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-14	10	15.2	15.6	-0.35	15.2	16.3	-1.01
Tyus Jones	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-15	12	14.4	15.8	-1.43	16.6	15.8	0.81
Jimmy Butler	55	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-12	6	15.5	15.4	0.08	16.1	15.7	0.43
Jeff Teague	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-3	-12	15.8	14.4	1.43	15.8	16.6	-0.81
Karl-Anthony Towns	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	-4	-10	15.6	15.2	0.35	16.3	15.2	1.01
Taj Gibson	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	-4	-10	16.7	14.4	2.33	16.0	16.0	-0.05
Andrew Wiggins	70	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.12	-16	-2	-14	15.9	14.2	1.70	15.7	17.0	-1.26

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	72	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.12	24	-6	30	16.6	13.9	2.66	15.4	15.7	-0.28
James Harden	71	69	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.06	16	2	14	16.4	14.5	1.88	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Clint Capela	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	3	12	16.2	15.4	0.76	15.0	16.6	-1.56
Eric Gordon	59	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	5	8	15.7	16.5	-0.79	16.5	13.7	2.87
PJ Tucker	63	63	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	10	-2	16.5	14.8	1.68	14.9	16.8	-1.92
Chris Paul	67	68	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	14	-10	15.4	17.6	-2.23	15.8	14.6	1.19
Ryan Anderson	19	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	14	-10	15.3	16.2	-0.83	17.6	14.9	2.70
Nene	19	18	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	18	-18	13.9	16.5	-2.63	18.5	14.8	3.75
Aaron Jackson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	20.0	15.9	4.11	3.0	15.8	-12.78
Zhou Qi	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	20.0	15.9	4.11	3.0	15.8	-12.78
Tarik Black	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	20.0	15.9	4.11	3.0	15.8	-12.78
Gerald Green	19	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	21	-24	14.2	16.5	-2.29	13.8	15.9	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 89, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NJN 98, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
HOU 102, MIN 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%